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Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers

NHL·2026-10-01

Best price · tap to trade

Tampa Bay Lightning58¢1.72xKalshiNew York Rangers46¢2.17xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Tampa Bay Lightning about a 55.8% chance. New York Rangers follows at 43.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Tampa Bay Lightning about a 55.8% chance. New York Rangers follows at 43.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers: NHL game scheduled for 2026-10-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TB
Tampa Bay Lightning
56%
Kalshi58¢
Polymarket US58¢
Polymarket56¢
Kalshi1.72x58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
55.0%54¢58¢42¢46¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
56.5%55¢58¢42¢45¢
PolymarketPolymarket
56.0%55¢56¢44¢45¢
NY
New York Rangers
43%
Kalshi46¢
—
Polymarket45¢
Kalshi2.17x46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
42.0%42¢46¢54¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
44.0%44¢45¢55¢56¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Spread

Best price
NYR +1.5
Polymarket67¢
Polymarket1.43x70¢
TB -1.5
Polymarket33¢
Polymarket2.78x36¢

Totals

Best price
O 6.5
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket1.52x66¢
U 6.5
Polymarket53¢
Polymarket1.41x71¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Tampa Bay Lightning

55.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs New York R NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the TB Lightning vs NYR Rangers NHL game scheduled for 2026-10-01 at 7:00PM ET. Overtime and a shootout are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers odds?

The latest available prices are Tampa Bay Lightning: 55.0¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket, 56.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Rangers: 42.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Lightning at 55.8¢ implies about a 55.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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