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Live prediction market odds for Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL·2026-10-03

Best price · tap to trade

Tampa Bay Lightning59¢1.69xKalshiWashington Capitals45¢2.22xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Tampa Bay Lightning about a 57.5% chance. Washington Capitals follows at 44.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Tampa Bay Lightning about a 57.5% chance. Washington Capitals follows at 44.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning: NHL game scheduled for 2026-10-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TB
Tampa Bay Lightning
58%
Kalshi59¢
Polymarket57¢
Kalshi1.69x59¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
59.0%55¢59¢41¢45¢
PolymarketPolymarket
56.0%55¢57¢43¢45¢
WC
Washington Capitals
45%
Kalshi45¢
Polymarket45¢
Kalshi2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
45.0%41¢45¢55¢59¢
PolymarketPolymarket
44.0%43¢45¢55¢57¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Spread

Best price
TB -1.5
Polymarket35¢
Polymarket2.56x39¢
WSH +1.5
Polymarket66¢
Polymarket1.43x70¢

Totals

Best price
O 6.5
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket1.52x66¢
U 6.5
Polymarket53¢
Polymarket1.41x71¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Tampa Bay Lightning

57.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the Washington vs Tampa Bay NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds?

The latest available prices are Tampa Bay Lightning: 59.0¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket; Washington Capitals: 45.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Lightning at 57.5¢ implies about a 57.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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