About This Market
Traders give 0 Cuts about a 98.3% chance. 3 Cuts follows at 1.2%, 4 Cuts follows at 1.1%, and 1 Cut follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Compare all 5 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give 0 Cuts about a 98.3% chance. 3 Cuts follows at 1.2%, 4 Cuts follows at 1.1%, and 1 Cut follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
Economic downturns, unexpected inflation spikes, or financial crises could prompt central banks to implement emergency rate cuts. These decisions are typically made to stabilize the economy and encourage borrowing.
Prediction markets assess various economic indicators, expert analyses, and historical data to set odds for potential rate cuts. Market participants place bets based on their expectations of future economic conditions.
Rate cuts generally lower borrowing costs, stimulate spending, and can lead to increased investment. However, they may also raise concerns about inflation if the economy overheats.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are 0 Cuts: 98.3¢ on Kalshi; 3 Cuts: 1.2¢ on Kalshi; 4 Cuts: 1.1¢ on Kalshi; 1 Cut: 1.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.