Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for OpenAI IPO Closing market cap. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

OpenAI IPO Closing market cap

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 202696¢1.04xPolymarketOpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day1¢100.00xPolymarketOpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day1¢100.00xPolymarket
Compare all 7 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 about a 95.8% chance. OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day follows at 1.2%, OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day follows at 1.1%, and OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day follows at 0.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.4 percentage points.

Traders give OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 about a 95.8% chance. OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day follows at 1.2%, OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day follows at 1.1%, and OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day follows at 0.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.4 percentage points.

Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the OpenAI IPO Closing market cap, which is set to resolve on January 1, 2027. The market will close based on the final market capitalization of OpenAI at the end of its IPO process, reflecting its valuation at that time.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
OpinionOpinion
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
ON
OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026
96%
Polymarket96¢
—
Predict.fun96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%96¢96¢4¢4¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
95.7%96¢96¢4¢4¢
OM
OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day
1%
Polymarket1¢
—
—
Polymarket76.92x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.9%1¢1¢99¢99¢
OpinionOpinion
—1¢——99¢
OM
OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day
single venue1%
Polymarket1¢
—
—
Polymarket76.92x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.1%1¢1¢99¢99¢
OM
OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day
single venue1%
Polymarket1¢
—
—
Polymarket142.86x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.7%0¢1¢99¢100¢
OM
OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day
single venue
—
—
—
Polymarket250.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarketOpinionOpinionPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.4%
Platforms3
Candidates7
Leader

OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026

95.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OpenAI IPO Closing market cap

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution criteria for the OpenAI IPO Closing market cap?

The market resolves based on the final market capitalization of OpenAI as reported at the close of its IPO on January 1, 2027. This figure will determine the outcome of the prediction market.

When will the OpenAI IPO market cap be determined?

The closing market cap for OpenAI's IPO will be determined on January 1, 2027. All trades and predictions will be evaluated based on the valuation reported at that time.

Which platforms are offering markets on the OpenAI IPO?

Polymarket and PredictIt are currently offering prediction markets on the OpenAI IPO Closing market cap. These platforms provide real-time odds and insights into the expected valuation.

What does the OpenAI IPO Closing market cap prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OpenAI IPO Closing market cap odds?

The latest available prices are OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026: 96.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.7¢ on Predict.fun; OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day: 0.9¢ on Polymarket, 1.4¢ on Opinion; OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day: 1.1¢ on Polymarket; OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day: 0.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

FL-06 House winner?

View

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

View

CA-15 House winner?

View

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC

View

Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs. Charo Esquiva Banuls

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds