About This Market
Traders give OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 about a 95.8% chance. OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day follows at 1.2%, OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day follows at 1.1%, and OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day follows at 0.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.4 percentage points.
Traders give OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 about a 95.8% chance. OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day follows at 1.2%, OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day follows at 1.1%, and OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day follows at 0.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.4 percentage points.
Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the OpenAI IPO Closing market cap, which is set to resolve on January 1, 2027. The market will close based on the final market capitalization of OpenAI at the end of its IPO process, reflecting its valuation at that time.



