Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor
Live prediction market odds for Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Paul Giamatti about a 45.0% chance. Robert Pattinson follows at 6.1%, Sam Rockwell follows at 4.4%, and Edward Norton follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniel Craig has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
PolymarketFactors include previous award wins, critical acclaim for performances, and overall popularity among audiences. Additionally, industry buzz and campaign efforts by studios can sway opinions.
The Oscar ceremony for Best Supporting Actor is scheduled for March 14, 2027. This date is crucial for actors and their respective films as it marks a significant moment in the awards season.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their predictions of outcomes, such as award winners. Prices fluctuate based on demand and the perceived likelihood of each nominee winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Paul Giamatti: 44.5¢ on Kalshi, 45.5¢ on Polymarket; Robert Pattinson: 6.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.7¢ on Polymarket; Sam Rockwell: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.3¢ on Polymarket; Edward Norton: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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