Pro Basketball #1 Overall Pick in 2027
Live prediction market odds for Pro Basketball #1 Overall Pick in 2027. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Tyran Stokes about a 55.6% chance. Jordan Smith Jr. follows at 15.6%, Bruce Branch III follows at 12.8%, and Cameron Williams follows at 7.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 20.7 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tyran Stokes is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the player selected with the first overall pick in the 2027 NBA Draft. If the player selected is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2027 NBA Draft is cancelled, or the first overall selection is not definitively known by July 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2027 NBA Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves when the first player is selected in the 2027 NBA Draft. Only the player chosen as the #1 overall pick will count for this market.
Odds are influenced by players' performances in college games, workouts, and evaluations by NBA scouts. Significant achievements or setbacks can lead to rapid changes in market prices.
Trading is scheduled to close on July 8, 2027, prior to the NBA Draft. This deadline allows traders to react to the latest developments leading up to the event.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Tyran Stokes: 66.0¢ on Kalshi, 45.3¢ on Polymarket; Jordan Smith Jr.: 9.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.2¢ on Polymarket; Bruce Branch III: 7.5¢ on Kalshi, 18.0¢ on Polymarket; Cameron Williams: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 11.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
