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Live prediction market odds for Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027

2027-04-23

Best price · tap to trade

Arch Manning20¢5.00xKalshiCJ Carr17¢5.88xKalshiDarian Mensah13¢7.69xKalshi
Compare all 13 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Arch Manning about a 20.8% chance. CJ Carr follows at 16.8%, Darian Mensah follows at 11.4%, and Trinidad Chambliss follows at 9.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give Arch Manning about a 20.8% chance. CJ Carr follows at 16.8%, Darian Mensah follows at 11.4%, and Trinidad Chambliss follows at 9.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027. This event is pivotal as it influences team strategies, player valuations, and the overall dynamics of the upcoming NFL draft.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AM
Arch ManningARB
21%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket23¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
CC
CJ Carr
17%
Kalshi17¢
Polymarket18¢
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%16¢17¢83¢84¢
PolymarketPolymarket
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
DM
Darian Mensah
11%
Kalshi13¢
Polymarket15¢
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%9¢13¢87¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.9%11¢15¢85¢89¢
TC
Trinidad Chambliss
10%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket12¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.0%10¢12¢88¢90¢
DM
Drew Mestemaker
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket9¢
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%5¢8¢92¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.6%3¢9¢91¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates13
Leader

Arch Manning

20.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Dylan Stewart is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the #1 overall pick in the NFL draft?

Player performances in college football, team needs, and scouting reports significantly impact the odds. Additionally, trades and injuries can alter team strategies leading up to the draft.

How does the prediction market reflect public sentiment about the draft?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants, reflecting their expectations based on current information. As new data emerges, such as player performances and team decisions, the odds can shift rapidly.

What is the significance of being the #1 overall pick in the NFL draft?

Being the #1 overall pick can define a franchise's future, as it often involves selecting a highly touted player expected to make an immediate impact. This selection can influence team success and fan engagement.

What does the Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 odds?

The latest available prices are Arch Manning: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket; CJ Carr: 16.0¢ on Kalshi, 17.5¢ on Polymarket; Darian Mensah: 10.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.9¢ on Polymarket; Trinidad Chambliss: 9.0¢ on Kalshi, 10.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Mensah Hits 20% for 2027 #1 Pick as Bleacher Report Backs HimBettors doubled Mensah's price in three days, yet Manning holds a 10-point lead at 30%, backed by a clean Week 1 stat line against Texas State.Sep 10, 2026Mensah's 2027 #1 Pick Odds Jump to 18% After Miami's 45-6 OpenerMensah went from 7% to 18% in three days on Kalshi and Polymarket. He's now the fastest-rising name in early 2027 draft pricing.Sep 5, 2026Sam Leavitt's 2027 NFL Draft #1 Pick Odds Fall to 4%Leavitt shed 14 percentage points in three days as preseason evaluations reshaped the QB pecking order. Kalshi has him at 3%, Polymarket at 4%.Aug 24, 2026Julian Sayin's Odds to Go #1 Overall in 2027 NFL Draft Fall to 6%Sayin fell 34 percentage points in 3 days as analyst commentary shifted toward Dante Moore and Arch Manning in early 2027 QB rankings.Aug 21, 2026