Traders give Jaxon Smith-Njigba about a 95.7% chance. Ja'Marr Chase follows at 89.5%, Luther Burden III follows at 84.0%, and Sam LaPorta follows at 78.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 59.8 percentage points.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a wide receiver for the Seattle Seahawks. He set an Ohio State record with 347 receiving yards in a single game during the 2022 Rose Bowl. He has accumulated 29 receiving touchdowns over 60 NFL games.
About Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase is a wide receiver for the Cincinnati Bengals. He was named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2021. He has been selected to five Pro Bowls and has been a first-team All-Pro twice.
About Luther Burden III
Luther Burden III is a wide receiver for the Chicago Bears. He was drafted by the Bears in the second round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He has recorded 96 receptions for 1,296 yards and 6 touchdowns over his first two NFL seasons.
About Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta is a tight end for the Detroit Lions in the NFL. He was drafted by the Lions in the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft. LaPorta holds Lions franchise records for receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns by a tight end.
About Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce is a professional football tight end for the Kansas City Chiefs. He has won three Super Bowls with the Chiefs and holds the NFL record for most consecutive seasons with 1,000 receiving yards by a tight end. Kelce is known for his exceptional receiving skills and has been a key player in the Chiefs' offense.
About CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb is a wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys. He led the NFL with 135 receptions and 1,749 receiving yards in 2023. Lamb's consistent performance and ability to generate significant yardage after the catch make him a key contributor to the Cowboys' passing offense.
About Tee Higgins
Tee Higgins is a wide receiver for the Cincinnati Bengals. He was drafted by the Bengals in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft. He has recorded at least 900 receiving yards in four of his five professional seasons.
About Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown is a wide receiver for the Detroit Lions in the NFL. He was drafted by the Lions in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL Draft. He has been selected to the Pro Bowl four times and was a first-team All-Pro in 2023 and 2024.
About Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson is a wide receiver for the New York Jets. He was drafted 10th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft and named Offensive Rookie of the Year. Wilson has consistently been a top target for the Jets, recording over 100 receptions in both the 2023 and 2024 seasons.
About Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers is a tight end for the Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. He was a three-time All-American and two-time John Mackey Award winner during his college career at Georgia. Bowers holds NFL rookie records for receptions and receiving yards by a tight end.
About Trey McBride
Trey McBride is a tight end for the Arizona Cardinals in the NFL. He set an NFL record for receptions in a season by a tight end with 126 catches in 2025. McBride leads all NFL tight ends in receptions and receiving yards since 2023.
About Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson is a wide receiver for the Minnesota Vikings. He was drafted by the Vikings in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. Jefferson has set multiple NFL records for receiving yards and receptions in his first three seasons.
About Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey is a wide receiver for the Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL. He played college football at the University of Georgia, earning two national championships and the 2023 Wuerffel Trophy. McConkey has demonstrated versatility and reliability as a receiver, contributing significantly to his team's passing offense.
About Nico Collins
Nico Collins is a wide receiver for the Houston Texans. He was drafted by the Texans in the third round of the 2021 NFL Draft. He has recorded 28 receiving touchdowns over his career.
About Jameson Williams
Jameson Williams is a wide receiver for the Detroit Lions in the NFL. He was drafted 12th overall by the Lions in the 2022 NFL Draft. Williams has accumulated 22 receiving touchdowns over his first four seasons, showcasing his consistent scoring ability.
About Colston Loveland
Colston Loveland is a tight end for the Chicago Bears in the NFL. He was drafted by the Bears in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft (No. 10 overall). Loveland played college football for the Michigan Wolverines, earning All-American honors in 2024.
About DeVonta Smith
DeVonta Smith is a wide receiver for the Philadelphia Eagles. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2020 while playing for Alabama. Smith has accumulated 33 receiving touchdowns over his NFL career.
About Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua is a wide receiver for the Los Angeles Rams. He set the NFL rookie record for receiving yards in 2023 and earned Pro Bowl honors in both 2023 and 2025. Nacua is recognized as one of the top wide receivers in professional football.
About Mike Evans
Mike Evans is a wide receiver for the San Francisco 49ers. He spent 12 seasons with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, earning six Pro Bowl selections and a Super Bowl title. Evans holds the Buccaneers' franchise records for receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns.
About George Pickens
George Pickens is a wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys. He previously played for the Pittsburgh Steelers, recording 63 receptions for 1,140 yards and 5 touchdowns in the 2023 season. Pickens has demonstrated consistent performance and playmaking ability throughout his career.
About Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers is a wide receiver for the Baltimore Ravens in the NFL. He was drafted by the Ravens in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft. He has accumulated 280 receptions for 3,742 yards and 17 touchdowns over his career.
About DJ Moore
DJ Moore is a wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills in the NFL. He was drafted by the Carolina Panthers in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft and played for them until 2022. Moore has consistently been a top performer, recording over 1,000 receiving yards in multiple seasons.
About Davante Adams
Davante Adams is a wide receiver for the Los Angeles Rams. He led the NFL in receiving touchdowns in 2020, 2022, and 2025. His consistent performance and ability to score touchdowns make him a strong candidate for this prediction market.
About Chris Olave
Chris Olave is a wide receiver for the New Orleans Saints. He was drafted 11th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft after a standout career at Ohio State, where he set a school record with 35 career receiving touchdowns. Olave has been a consistent performer for the Saints, recording over 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first three seasons and earning a second-team All-Pro selection in 2025.
About Tetairoa McMillan
Tetairoa McMillan is a wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers in the NFL. He was drafted eighth overall in the 2025 NFL Draft after a standout college career at Arizona, where he earned Consensus All-American honors in 2024. McMillan has demonstrated consistent performance, recording 116 receptions for 1,639 yards and 10 touchdowns over his first two NFL seasons.
About Emeka Egbuka
Emeka Egbuka is a wide receiver for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL. He set the Ohio State career receptions record with 205 catches before being drafted 19th overall by the Buccaneers in 2025. Egbuka's consistent performance and leadership qualities make him a key asset to his team.
About Tyler Warren
Tyler Warren is a tight end for the Indianapolis Colts in the NFL. He won the John Mackey Award in 2024 as the nation's top tight end. Warren holds Penn State's records for career receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns by a tight end.
About Malik Nabers
Malik Nabers is a wide receiver for the New York Giants in the NFL. He led LSU with 1,569 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns in 2023. Nabers holds LSU's records for career receptions and receiving yards.
About Drake London
Drake London is a wide receiver for the Atlanta Falcons in the NFL. He was drafted by the Falcons in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft. London has set franchise records for receptions by a rookie and has consistently led the team in receiving yards and touchdowns.
About A.J. Brown
A.J. Brown is a wide receiver for the New England Patriots. He was traded to the Patriots in 2026 after playing for the Philadelphia Eagles and Tennessee Titans. Brown has been selected to three Pro Bowls and earned three second-team All-Pro honors.
About Marvin Harrison Jr.
Marvin Harrison Jr. is a wide receiver for the Houston Texans in the NFL. He won the Fred Biletnikoff Award in 2023. He is the son of Pro Football Hall of Fame wide receiver Marvin Harrison.
About Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze is a wide receiver for the Chicago Bears in the NFL. He was a consensus All-American and led the NCAA in receiving yards in 2023. Odunze was drafted ninth overall by the Bears in the 2024 NFL Draft.
About DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf is a wide receiver for the Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL. He was traded from the Seattle Seahawks to the Steelers in 2025. Metcalf has recorded 55 receiving touchdowns in his career, ranking among the top active players in this category.
About Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle is a wide receiver for the Denver Broncos. He was traded from the Miami Dolphins to the Broncos in March 2026. Waddle has recorded 28 receiving touchdowns in his NFL career.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Pro Football: 10+ Receiving Touchdowns Season
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Zay Flowers records 10+ receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.
If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the resolution of this market?
The market resolves when the regular NFL season concludes, based on the total number of receiving touchdowns by eligible players. Only touchdowns counted in official NFL statistics will be considered.
How do player performances affect the odds?
Odds are influenced by player statistics, including game performances and injury reports. As players score touchdowns or face setbacks, the market adjusts accordingly.
Are all players eligible for this market?
Only players who are active in the NFL and meet the criteria for receiving touchdowns during the regular season are considered. Specific eligibility rules may apply based on player positions.
What does the Pro Football: 10+ Receiving Touchdowns Season prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Pro Football: 10+ Receiving Touchdowns Season odds?
The latest available prices are Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 94.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.9¢ on Polymarket; Ja'Marr Chase: 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 86.0¢ on Polymarket; Luther Burden III: 84.0¢ on Kalshi; Sam LaPorta: 78.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Kalshi
Polymarket
