Traders give Kirk Cousins about a 66.0% chance. Josh Allen follows at 57.5%, Dak Prescott follows at 57.0%, and Patrick Mahomes follows at 53.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Kirk Cousins about a 66.0% chance. Josh Allen follows at 57.5%, Dak Prescott follows at 57.0%, and Patrick Mahomes follows at 53.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi is tracking the Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season event. Achieving 4,000 passing yards is a notable milestone for quarterbacks, influencing team performance and player contracts in the league.
Josh Allen is the quarterback for the Buffalo Bills in the NFL. He was named the NFL Most Valuable Player in 2024. Allen has led the Bills to multiple playoff appearances and division titles.
About Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott is the starting quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. He led the NFL with 36 passing touchdowns in the 2023 season. Prescott holds several Cowboys team records, including passing yards, completion percentage, and games with three or more touchdown passes.
About Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. He led the team to a Super Bowl victory in 2023 and was named Super Bowl MVP. Mahomes is known for his exceptional passing abilities and has consistently been among the league's top quarterbacks.
About Brock Purdy
Brock Purdy is the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers. He led the team to a Super Bowl appearance in 2023, setting a franchise record for single-season passing yards. Purdy's efficient play and leadership have established him as a key figure in the 49ers' offense.
About Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Rams. He led the Rams to a Super Bowl victory in the 2021 season. Stafford has consistently demonstrated his ability to achieve high passing yardage seasons, making him a key player in the NFL.
About Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams is the starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears in the NFL. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2022 during his sophomore year at USC. Williams holds the NFL record for most consecutive passing attempts without an interception by a rookie, with 354 in 2024.
About Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson is the starting quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens. He won the NFL MVP award in 2019 and 2023. Jackson is recognized for his dual-threat capabilities, combining strong passing with exceptional rushing skills.
About Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence is the starting quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He led the team to its first playoff victory since 2017. As the first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, he has been instrumental in the Jaguars' offensive development.
About Jordan Love
Jordan Love is the starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers. He led the Packers to the playoffs in his first full season as a starter in 2023. Love's performance in 2023 included over 4,000 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, making him one of the few quarterbacks to achieve such statistics in their first season as a starter.
About Jared Goff
Jared Goff is the starting quarterback for the Detroit Lions. He led the team to a 15-2 record in the 2024 season, earning a finalist spot for NFL MVP. Goff has consistently demonstrated high-level performance, including surpassing 4,000 passing yards in multiple seasons.
About Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield is the starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He led the team to a 9–8 record and a Wild Card playoff victory in the 2023 season. Mayfield has a history of high passing yardage seasons, including over 4,000 yards in 2023.
About Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow is the starting quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals. He led the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns in 2024, earning his second Comeback Player of the Year award. Burrow holds several Bengals franchise records and has been selected to the Pro Bowl three times.
About Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers. He was drafted sixth overall in the 2020 NFL Draft and won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Herbert has consistently demonstrated high passing yardage, including over 4,000 yards in each of his first three seasons.
About Jalen Hurts
Jalen Hurts is the starting quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles. He led the team to a Super Bowl victory in 2024 and was named Super Bowl LIX MVP. Hurts has been selected to three Pro Bowls and earned a second-team All-Pro honor in 2022.
About Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray is the starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings. He was drafted first overall by the Arizona Cardinals in 2019 and won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Murray has been selected to two Pro Bowls and is known for his dual-threat capabilities as both a passer and a rusher.
About Drake Maye
Drake Maye is the starting quarterback for the New England Patriots. He was selected third overall in the 2024 NFL Draft after a standout college career at the University of North Carolina. Maye's strong arm and mobility have established him as a promising young talent in the NFL.
About Bo Nix
Bo Nix is the starting quarterback for the Denver Broncos in the NFL. He led the Oregon Ducks to a 12-2 record in 2023, setting NCAA records for completion percentage and passing touchdowns. Nix's exceptional performance in college established him as a top quarterback prospect, culminating in his selection by the Broncos in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft.
About Cam Ward
Cam Ward is the starting quarterback for the Tennessee Titans in the NFL. He was selected first overall in the 2025 NFL Draft after a standout college career at Miami, where he threw for 4,313 yards and 39 touchdowns in his final season. Ward's strong arm and playmaking abilities have made him a key figure in the Titans' offensive strategy.
About Jaxson Dart
Jaxson Dart is the starting quarterback for the New York Giants in the NFL. He led Ole Miss to back-to-back 10-win seasons and set the program's passing yards record, surpassing Eli Manning. Dart's strong college performance and leadership qualities make him a key player for the Giants.
About Malik Willis
Malik Willis is a quarterback for the Miami Dolphins. He was drafted by the Tennessee Titans in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft. Willis has demonstrated versatility with both passing and rushing abilities during his career.
About Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold is the starting quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks. He was drafted third overall by the New York Jets in the 2018 NFL Draft. Darnold has demonstrated consistent performance, including a 4,319-yard season with the Minnesota Vikings in 2024.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Josh Allen records 4000+ passing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
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What does it mean to achieve 4000+ passing yards in a season?
Achieving 4000+ passing yards is a benchmark for quarterbacks, indicating a high level of performance. It often correlates with team success and can affect a player's market value.
How do passing yards impact a quarterback's career?
Passing yards are a key statistic that can enhance a quarterback's reputation and legacy. Consistently reaching this milestone can lead to better contracts and endorsements.
What factors influence a quarterback's passing yards in a season?
Factors include the team's offensive strategy, the quarterback's skill level, and the quality of the receiving corps. Injuries and game situations also play a crucial role in determining passing yard totals.
What does the Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season odds?
The latest available prices are Kirk Cousins: 66.0¢ on Kalshi; Josh Allen: 57.5¢ on Kalshi; Dak Prescott: 57.0¢ on Kalshi; Patrick Mahomes: 53.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
