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Live prediction market odds for Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season

2027-02-02

Best price · tap to trade

Dak Prescott75¢1.33xKalshiJared Goff81¢1.23xKalshiTyler Shough84¢1.19xKalshi
Compare all 29 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Dak Prescott about a 56.0% chance. Jared Goff follows at 45.0%, Tyler Shough follows at 44.0%, and Josh Allen follows at 40.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Dak Prescott about a 56.0% chance. Jared Goff follows at 45.0%, Tyler Shough follows at 44.0%, and Josh Allen follows at 40.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season event. Performance metrics, player health, and team dynamics will heavily influence the odds as the season progresses.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
DP
Dak Prescott
single venue56%
Kalshi75¢
Kalshi1.33x75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
56.0%0¢75¢25¢100¢
JG
Jared Goff
single venue45%
Kalshi81¢
Kalshi1.23x81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
45.0%12¢81¢19¢88¢
TS
Tyler Shough
single venue44%
Kalshi84¢
Kalshi1.19x84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
44.0%21¢84¢16¢79¢
JA
Josh Allen
single venue40%
Kalshi85¢
Kalshi1.18x85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
40.0%0¢85¢15¢100¢
BY
Bryce Young
single venue28%
Kalshi81¢
Kalshi1.23x81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
28.0%0¢81¢19¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott is the starting quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. He led the NFL with 36 touchdown passes in 2023, earning a second-place finish in MVP voting. Prescott holds several Cowboys team records, including passing yards, completion percentage, and games with three or more touchdown passes.

About Jared Goff

Jared Goff is the starting quarterback for the Detroit Lions. He led the team to a 15-2 record in the 2024 season, earning a spot as a finalist for the NFL MVP award. Goff's consistent performance and leadership have established him as a key figure in the Lions' offense.

About Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough is the starting quarterback for the New Orleans Saints. He transferred to Louisville in 2024, leading the team to an 8–4 record and ranking 14th in FBS with 3,195 passing yards. Shough's experience and performance in college football make him a key player in the Saints' quarterback lineup.

About Josh Allen

Josh Allen is the starting quarterback for the Buffalo Bills. He was drafted by the Bills in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. Allen has led the team to multiple playoff appearances and has been recognized for his strong arm and mobility.

About Drake Maye

Drake Maye is the starting quarterback for the New England Patriots. He was drafted third overall in the 2024 NFL Draft after a standout college career at the University of North Carolina. Maye's strong arm and mobility have established him as a promising young talent in the NFL.

About Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Rams. He led the Rams to a Super Bowl victory in the 2021 season. Stafford has consistently demonstrated his ability to achieve high passing yardage totals, making him a key player in the NFL.

About Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow is the starting quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals. He led the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns in 2024, earning his second Comeback Player of the Year award. Burrow holds several Bengals franchise records and has been selected to the Pro Bowl three times.

About Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence is the starting quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He was selected first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft and has been the team's leader since then. Lawrence has demonstrated consistent performance, including a Pro Bowl selection in 2022, and is recognized for his strong leadership and passing abilities.

About Jordan Love

Jordan Love is the starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers. He led the team to the playoffs in his first full season as a starter in 2023. Love's performance in 2023 included over 4,000 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, ranking among the top quarterbacks in the league.

About Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy is the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers. He led the team to a Super Bowl appearance in 2024 and earned a Pro Bowl selection in 2023. Purdy holds the 49ers' single-season passing yards record and has a 23-13 record as a starter.

About Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield is the starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He led the team to a 9–8 record in 2023, earning his first Pro Bowl selection. Mayfield has a history of high passing yardage seasons, including a 4,044-yard performance in 2023.

About Bo Nix

Bo Nix is the starting quarterback for the Denver Broncos in the NFL. He was drafted 12th overall by the Broncos in the 2024 NFL Draft after a standout college career at Oregon, where he set an NCAA single-season record for completion percentage at 77.4% in 2023. Nix's exceptional performance in college and his rapid adaptation to the NFL highlight his potential to achieve significant passing yardage in the professional league.

About Geno Smith

Geno Smith is the starting quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders. He previously played for the Seattle Seahawks, leading the NFL in completion percentage during the 2022 season. Smith has demonstrated consistent performance and leadership throughout his career, making him a key figure in the Raiders' offense.

About Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers. He was named the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2020. Herbert has consistently demonstrated high passing yardage, including over 4,500 yards in multiple seasons.

About Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams is the starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears in the NFL. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2022 after leading USC to a 14-1 record. Williams holds the NFL rookie record for most consecutive passing attempts without an interception, with 354 in 2024.

About Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold is the starting quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks. He was drafted third overall by the New York Jets in the 2018 NFL Draft. Darnold has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, playing for multiple teams and consistently contributing to their offensive strategies.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates29
Leader

Dak Prescott

56.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Josh Allen records 4500+ passing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the 4500+ passing yards season entail?

This season focuses on whether specific quarterbacks will achieve over 4500 passing yards. It reflects their performance across the regular season.

How do player injuries affect the passing yards market?

Injuries to key players can significantly impact their ability to accumulate passing yards. As a result, odds may fluctuate based on injury reports and recovery timelines.

What factors contribute to a quarterback reaching 4500 passing yards?

A quarterback's success in reaching 4500 passing yards depends on their passing attempts, completion percentage, and the offensive scheme. Additionally, the strength of the receiving corps plays a crucial role.

What does the Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season odds?

The latest available prices are Dak Prescott: 56.0¢ on Kalshi; Jared Goff: 45.0¢ on Kalshi; Tyler Shough: 44.0¢ on Kalshi; Josh Allen: 40.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

2026 NFL MVPLOSTPre-event: 1%2026 NFL Comeback Player of the YearLOSTPre-event: 3%Dallas Cowboys vs. New York GiantsLOSTPre-event: 0%Washington Commanders vs. Dallas CowboysLOSTPre-event: 89%Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas CowboysLOSTPre-event: 46%

Prediction Market Track Record

2026 NFL MVPLOSTPre-event: 1%New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit LionsLOSTPre-event: 56%New York Jets vs. Detroit LionsLOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

2026 NFL MVP

Resolved

2026-02-01

LOSTJosh Allen
Pre-event: 1%

2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year

Resolved

2026-02-01

LOSTDak Prescott
Pre-event: 3%

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

Resolved

2026-09-13

LOSTDak Prescott
Pre-event: 0%

Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys

Resolved

2026-09-20

LOSTDak Prescott
Pre-event: 89%

Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys

Resolved

2026-09-27

LOSTDak Prescott
Pre-event: 46%

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions

Resolved

2026-09-13

LOSTJared Goff
Pre-event: 56%

New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions

Resolved

2026-09-27

LOSTJared Goff
Pre-event: 0%

NFL Offensive Player of the Year

Resolved

2026-02-18

LOSTJosh Allen
Pre-event: 1%

Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans

Resolved

2026-09-13

LOSTJosh Allen
Pre-event: 9%

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills

Resolved

2026-09-27

LOSTJosh Allen
Pre-event: 60%

Prediction Market Track Record

2026 NFL MVPLOSTPre-event: 1%NFL Offensive Player of the YearLOSTPre-event: 1%Buffalo Bills vs. Houston TexansLOSTPre-event: 9%Los Angeles Chargers vs. Buffalo BillsLOSTPre-event: 60%