Traders give Dak Prescott about a 56.0% chance. Jared Goff follows at 45.0%, Tyler Shough follows at 44.0%, and Josh Allen follows at 40.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Dak Prescott about a 56.0% chance. Jared Goff follows at 45.0%, Tyler Shough follows at 44.0%, and Josh Allen follows at 40.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season event. Performance metrics, player health, and team dynamics will heavily influence the odds as the season progresses.
Dak Prescott is the starting quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. He led the NFL with 36 touchdown passes in 2023, earning a second-place finish in MVP voting. Prescott holds several Cowboys team records, including passing yards, completion percentage, and games with three or more touchdown passes.
About Jared Goff
Jared Goff is the starting quarterback for the Detroit Lions. He led the team to a 15-2 record in the 2024 season, earning a spot as a finalist for the NFL MVP award. Goff's consistent performance and leadership have established him as a key figure in the Lions' offense.
About Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough is the starting quarterback for the New Orleans Saints. He transferred to Louisville in 2024, leading the team to an 8–4 record and ranking 14th in FBS with 3,195 passing yards. Shough's experience and performance in college football make him a key player in the Saints' quarterback lineup.
About Josh Allen
Josh Allen is the starting quarterback for the Buffalo Bills. He was drafted by the Bills in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. Allen has led the team to multiple playoff appearances and has been recognized for his strong arm and mobility.
About Drake Maye
Drake Maye is the starting quarterback for the New England Patriots. He was drafted third overall in the 2024 NFL Draft after a standout college career at the University of North Carolina. Maye's strong arm and mobility have established him as a promising young talent in the NFL.
About Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Rams. He led the Rams to a Super Bowl victory in the 2021 season. Stafford has consistently demonstrated his ability to achieve high passing yardage totals, making him a key player in the NFL.
About Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow is the starting quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals. He led the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns in 2024, earning his second Comeback Player of the Year award. Burrow holds several Bengals franchise records and has been selected to the Pro Bowl three times.
About Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence is the starting quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He was selected first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft and has been the team's leader since then. Lawrence has demonstrated consistent performance, including a Pro Bowl selection in 2022, and is recognized for his strong leadership and passing abilities.
About Jordan Love
Jordan Love is the starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers. He led the team to the playoffs in his first full season as a starter in 2023. Love's performance in 2023 included over 4,000 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, ranking among the top quarterbacks in the league.
About Brock Purdy
Brock Purdy is the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers. He led the team to a Super Bowl appearance in 2024 and earned a Pro Bowl selection in 2023. Purdy holds the 49ers' single-season passing yards record and has a 23-13 record as a starter.
About Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield is the starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He led the team to a 9–8 record in 2023, earning his first Pro Bowl selection. Mayfield has a history of high passing yardage seasons, including a 4,044-yard performance in 2023.
About Bo Nix
Bo Nix is the starting quarterback for the Denver Broncos in the NFL. He was drafted 12th overall by the Broncos in the 2024 NFL Draft after a standout college career at Oregon, where he set an NCAA single-season record for completion percentage at 77.4% in 2023. Nix's exceptional performance in college and his rapid adaptation to the NFL highlight his potential to achieve significant passing yardage in the professional league.
About Geno Smith
Geno Smith is the starting quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders. He previously played for the Seattle Seahawks, leading the NFL in completion percentage during the 2022 season. Smith has demonstrated consistent performance and leadership throughout his career, making him a key figure in the Raiders' offense.
About Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers. He was named the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2020. Herbert has consistently demonstrated high passing yardage, including over 4,500 yards in multiple seasons.
About Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams is the starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears in the NFL. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2022 after leading USC to a 14-1 record. Williams holds the NFL rookie record for most consecutive passing attempts without an interception, with 354 in 2024.
About Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold is the starting quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks. He was drafted third overall by the New York Jets in the 2018 NFL Draft. Darnold has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, playing for multiple teams and consistently contributing to their offensive strategies.
This season focuses on whether specific quarterbacks will achieve over 4500 passing yards. It reflects their performance across the regular season.
How do player injuries affect the passing yards market?
Injuries to key players can significantly impact their ability to accumulate passing yards. As a result, odds may fluctuate based on injury reports and recovery timelines.
What factors contribute to a quarterback reaching 4500 passing yards?
A quarterback's success in reaching 4500 passing yards depends on their passing attempts, completion percentage, and the offensive scheme. Additionally, the strength of the receiving corps plays a crucial role.
What does the Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season odds?
The latest available prices are Dak Prescott: 56.0¢ on Kalshi; Jared Goff: 45.0¢ on Kalshi; Tyler Shough: 44.0¢ on Kalshi; Josh Allen: 40.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.