Live prediction market odds for Pro Football: AFC #1 Seed. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Buffalo Bills about a 40.5% chance. Jacksonville Jaguars follows at 24.3%, Denver Broncos follows at 17.0%, and Cincinnati Bengals follows at 12.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tennessee is the #1 seed in the American Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that receives the number 1 seed in the American Football Conference (AFC) for the 2027 NFL Playoffs, based on the final standings of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to receive the number 1 seed in the AFC for the 2027 NFL Playoffs, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are tied for the best regular season record in the AFC, this market will resolve in favor of the team that is officially awarded the number 1 seed under the NFL's tie-breaking procedures, available here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the number 1 seed in the AFC has not been officially determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The AFC's #1 seed is awarded to the team with the best regular season record. Tiebreakers may apply if teams have identical records.
Injuries to key players can significantly impact a team's performance and thus their chances of securing the #1 seed. Markets adjust odds based on the severity and expected recovery time of these injuries.
The remaining schedule is crucial as it includes the teams each contender faces, which can influence their likelihood of winning. Analysts consider the strength of opponents when assessing potential outcomes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Buffalo Bills: 41.0¢ on Kalshi, 40.0¢ on Polymarket; Jacksonville Jaguars: 24.5¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket; Denver Broncos: 17.0¢ on Kalshi; Cincinnati Bengals: 12.5¢ on Kalshi, 13.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
