Traders give Inter Milan about a 93.1% chance. Roma follows at 81.5%, Como follows at 59.5%, and AC Milan follows at 55.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.7 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Serie A Top 4 Finishers
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Venezia is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 Serie A season, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Serie A season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by Serie A as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings.
If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the outcome of the Serie A Top 4 Finishers market?
The outcome is determined by the final standings of the Serie A league at the end of the season. Teams that finish in the top four positions will resolve the market.
How do team performances affect the odds in this market?
Odds in this market change based on teams' match results, injuries, and overall performance throughout the season. Significant wins or losses can lead to rapid shifts in the odds.
When does trading close for the Serie A Top 4 Finishers market?
Trading for this market closes on May 30, 2027. This deadline is when the market stops accepting bets, but the final results will be determined by the league standings.
What does the Serie A Top 4 Finishers prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Serie A Top 4 Finishers odds?
The latest available prices are Inter Milan: 94.0¢ on Kalshi, 92.3¢ on Polymarket; Roma: 81.5¢ on Kalshi, 81.5¢ on Polymarket; Como: 59.5¢ on Kalshi, 59.5¢ on Polymarket; AC Milan: 56.5¢ on Kalshi, 55.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.