Traders give Galatasaray about a 62.0% chance. Beşiktaş follows at 14.5%, Trabzonspor follows at 13.1%, and Fenerbahçe follows at 11.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.9 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Süper Lig: 2026-27 Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Trabzonspor is the 2026-27 Turkish Super Lig Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Süper Lig for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Süper Lig for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Süper Lig (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Süper Lig; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the winner of the Süper Lig determined?
The winner is the team that finishes at the top of the league table at the end of the season. Points are awarded based on match outcomes, including wins, draws, and losses.
What factors influence the odds in this market?
Odds are influenced by team performances, injuries, transfers, and match results throughout the season. Significant events such as key victories or losses can lead to rapid changes in the odds.
When does trading close for this market?
Trading is scheduled to close on June 6, 2027, coinciding with the end of the Süper Lig season. However, the actual winner is determined based on the final league standings.
What does the Süper Lig: 2026-27 Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Süper Lig: 2026-27 Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Galatasaray: 62.0¢ on Kalshi, 62.0¢ on Polymarket; Beşiktaş: 17.5¢ on Kalshi, 11.5¢ on Polymarket; Trabzonspor: 16.5¢ on Kalshi, 9.6¢ on Polymarket; Fenerbahçe: 10.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.