Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for Taichung Mayor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Traders give Johnny Chiang about a 78.3% chance. Ho Hsin-chun follows at 21.6% and Yang Chiung-ying follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ho Hsin-chun wins the 2026 Taichung mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
The market resolves when the official results of the Taichung Mayor Election are announced. This includes the final vote counts and any relevant certifications.
Voter turnout and campaign strategies can significantly influence market odds. Changes in public opinion or major endorsements may also shift predictions leading up to the election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the Taichung Mayor Election. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Johnny Chiang: 78.0¢ on Kalshi, 78.5¢ on Polymarket; Ho Hsin-chun: 22.0¢ on Kalshi, 21.3¢ on Polymarket; Yang Chiung-ying: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
