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Live prediction market odds for Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig. Compare prices across .

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Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig Final Score & Odds

Champions League · Wed, Oct 21, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/UCL/Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig
  1. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    3 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  2. 88'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa comes on for Jude Bellingham.

  3. 88'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Carlos Espi comes on for Kylian Mbappe.

  4. 87'
    RMA
    Goal4-1

    Y. Diomande

  5. 85'
    RBL
    Goal3-1

    T. Gomis

  6. 83'
    RMA
    Goal3-0

    K. Mbappe

  7. 78'
    RBL
    Substitution

    Christoph Baumgartner comes on for Christopher Nkunku.

  8. 78'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Brahim Abdelkader Diaz comes on for Arda Guler.

  9. 73'
    RBL
    Substitution

    M Finkgräfe comes on for David Raum.

  10. 73'
    RBL
    Substitution

    T Gomis comes on for Antonio Nusa.

  11. 70'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Yan Diomande comes on for Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira Júnior.

  12. 70'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Marc Cucurella comes on for A Carreras.

  13. 70'
    RBL
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Rocco Reitz.

  14. 68'
    RMA
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for A Carreras.

  15. 63'
    RBL
    Substitution

    Andrija Maksimovic comes on for Brajan Gruda.

  16. 63'
    RBL
    Substitution

    Rocco Reitz comes on for Neil El Aynaoui.

  17. 52'
    RMA
    Goal2-0

    A. Guler

  18. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    1 minute of stoppage time announced.

  19. 44'
    RMA
    Goal1-0

    B. Silva

Full timeUCL · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
RMAReal Madrid · 3-0-0
4
FT
Full time
RBLRB Leipzig · 1-0-2
1
Pressure by minute
44' Silva52' Guler83' Mbappe85' Gomis87' DiomandeHTFT
88'89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'FT
RMA4–1RBL
RMA attack →← RBL attack
Full time
Win chanceFTRMA win–Draw–RBL win–
90+3'RMA · Corner taken.

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeUCL · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
RMAReal Madrid · 3-0-0
4
FT
Full time
RBLRB Leipzig · 1-0-2
1
  1. 44'Goal 1-0B. Silva
  2. 52'Goal 2-0A. Guler
  3. 83'Goal 3-0K. Mbappe
  4. 85'Goal 3-1T. Gomis
  5. 87'Goal 4-1Y. Diomande

Match replay

Pressure by minute
44' Silva52' Guler83' Mbappe85' Gomis87' DiomandeHTFT
88'89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'FT
RMA4–1RBL
RMA attack →← RBL attack
Full time
Win chanceFTRMA win–Draw–RBL win–
90+3'RMA · Corner taken.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
RMA134
RBL011
RMA

Team stats

RBL
60%Possession40%
17Shots11
11On target6
7Corners1
33%Time attacking22%
18%Time in danger zone15%
14Fouls13
4Offsides1
1Yellow cards1

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
Real MadridWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
RB Leipzig
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Legal in USAVerified Nov 2, 2026

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Leipzig professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Real Madrid vs Leipzig professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Real Madrid in RasenBallsport Leipzig @ Real Madrid CF (Champions League); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-10-21 3:00PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
Real MadridWINNER
81¢
Draw
12¢
RB Leipzig
9¢

Market recap

Real Madrid beat RB Leipzig 4-1. At kick-off the market gave Real Madrid a 81% chance, the favorite. Goals: B. Silva 44', A. Guler 52', K. Mbappe 83', T. Gomis 85' and Y. Diomande 87'. Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on Real Madrid.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.