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Live prediction market odds for AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid. Compare prices across .

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AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid Final Score & Odds

Champions League · Wed, Nov 4, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/UCL/AEK Athens vs Real Madrid
  1. 90+2'
    RMA
    Goal2-3

    F. Valverde

    Assist: B. Abdelkader Diaz

  2. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    4 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  3. 88'
    AEK
    Substitution

    Olexander Zubkov comes on for Luka Jovic.

  4. 86'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Carlos Espi comes on for Jude Bellingham.

  5. 82'
    RMA
    Substitution

    A Carreras comes on for Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira Júnior.

  6. 81'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Brahim Abdelkader Diaz comes on for Marc Cucurella.

  7. 78'
    RMA
    Goal2-2

    K. Mbappe

    Assist: D. Dumfries

  8. 75'
    AEK
    Goal2-1

    S. Pilios

    Assist: A. Koita

  9. 68'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa comes on for Bernardo Silva.

  10. 67'
    RMA
    Substitution

    F Valverde comes on for Yan Diomande.

  11. 65'
    RMA
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Marc Cucurella.

  12. 60'
    AEK
    Substitution

    Barnabas Varga comes on for Kaan Kairinen.

  13. 60'
    AEK
    Substitution

    Răzvan Marin comes on for Mijat Gačinović.

  14. 53'
    AEK
    Substitution

    Ambrosini Zini comes on for Lovro Majer.

  15. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    1 minute of stoppage time announced.

  16. 34'
    AEK
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Kervin Arriaga.

  17. 32'
    RMA
    Goal1-1

    J. Bellingham

    Assist: M. Cucurella

  18. 12'
    AEK
    Goal1-0

    A. Koita

    Assist: L. Jovic

Full timeUCL · Agia Sophia Stadium
AEKAEK Athens · 1-0-3
2
FT
Full time
RMAReal Madrid · 4-0-0
3
Pressure by minute
12' Koita32' Bellingham75' Pilios78' Mbappe90+2' ValverdeHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
AEK2–3RMA
AEK attack →← RMA attack
Full time
Win chanceFTAEK win–Draw–RMA win–

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeUCL · Agia Sophia Stadium
AEKAEK Athens · 1-0-3
2
FT
Full time
RMAReal Madrid · 4-0-0
3
  1. 12'Goal 1-0A. Koita · assist L. Jovic
  2. 32'Goal 1-1J. Bellingham · assist M. Cucurella
  3. 75'Goal 2-1S. Pilios · assist A. Koita
  4. 78'Goal 2-2K. Mbappe · assist D. Dumfries
  5. 90+2'Goal 2-3F. Valverde · assist B. Abdelkader Diaz

Match replay

Pressure by minute
12' Koita32' Bellingham75' Pilios78' Mbappe90+2' ValverdeHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
AEK2–3RMA
AEK attack →← RMA attack
Full time
Win chanceFTAEK win–Draw–RMA win–

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
AEK112
RMA123
AEK

Team stats

RMA
33%Possession67%
9Shots24
5On target8
0Corners7
22%Time attacking37%
8%Time in danger zone21%
9Fouls16
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards1

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
Real MadridWINNER
Yes
AEK Athens
No
Draw
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If AEK Athens wins the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

AEK Athens in Real Madrid CF @ AEK Athens FC (Champions League); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 4, 2026 If AEK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the AEK vs Real Madrid CF UEFA Champions League match scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

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Frequently asked questions

What does the AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do AEK Athens vs. Real Madrid prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
Real MadridWINNER
82¢
AEK Athens
7¢
Draw
13¢

Market recap

Real Madrid beat AEK Athens 3-2. At kick-off the market gave Real Madrid a 82% chance, the favorite. Goals: A. Koita 12', J. Bellingham 32', S. Pilios 75', K. Mbappe 78' and F. Valverde 90+2'. Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on Real Madrid.