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Live prediction market odds for AS Roma vs. Real Madrid. Compare prices across .

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AS Roma vs. Real Madrid Final Score & Odds

Champions League · Wed, Oct 14, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/UCL/AS Roma vs Real Madrid
  1. 90+5'
    RMA
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for A Carreras.

  2. 90+2'
    Stoppage time

    5 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  3. 90'
    RMA
    Goal3-4

    A. Rüdiger

    Assist: A. Guler

  4. 89'
    ROMA
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Lorenzo Pellegrini.

  5. 85'
    RMA
    Goal3-3

    E. Moreira de Sousa

    Assist: A. Guler

  6. 83'
    RMA
    Goal3-2

    C. Espi

  7. 81'
    ROMA
    Substitution

    Konstantinos Koulierakis comes on for M Hermoso.

  8. 79'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Carlos Espi comes on for Yan Diomande.

  9. 78'
    RMA
    Substitution

    A Carreras comes on for Ibrahima Konate.

  10. 70'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Bernardo Silva comes on for Aurelien Tchouameni.

  11. 69'
    ROMA
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Wesley Vinicius França.

  12. 63'
    ROMA
    Substitution

    Leonardo Balerdi Rosa comes on for Gianluca Mancini.

  13. 63'
    ROMA
    Substitution

    Lorenzo Pellegrini comes on for M Soule Malvano.

  14. 60'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Arda Guler comes on for Denzel Dumfries.

  15. 60'
    ROMA
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Gianluca Mancini.

  16. 59'
    RMA
    Substitution

    Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa comes on for Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira Júnior.

  17. 57'
    ROMA
    Goal3-1

    D. Malen

    Assist: M. Soule Malvano

  18. 51'
    ROMA
    Goal2-1

    D. Malen

    Assist: R. Mora

  19. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    1 minute of stoppage time announced.

  20. 25'
    RMA
    Goal1-1

    K. Mbappe

    Assist: Y. Diomande

  21. 20'
    ROMA
    Goal1-0

    M. de Roon

    Assist: M. Soule Malvano

  22. 17'
    ROMA
    Substitution

    Niccolo Pisilli comes on for Kouadio Kone.

Full timeUCL · Stadio Olimpico di Roma
ROMAAS Roma · 0-1-1
3
FT
Full time
RMAReal Madrid · 2-0-0
4
Pressure by minute
20' de Roon25' Mbappe51' Malen57' Malen83' Espi85' Moreira de Sousa90' RüdigerHTFT
90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'FT
ROMA3–4RMA
ROMA attack →← RMA attack
Full time
Win chanceFTROMA win–Draw–RMA win–
90+5'RMA · Yellow card for A Carreras.
90+5'RMA · Shot off target.
90+3'ROMA · Shot blocked.

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeUCL · Stadio Olimpico di Roma
ROMAAS Roma · 0-1-1
3
FT
Full time
RMAReal Madrid · 2-0-0
4
  1. 20'Goal 1-0M. de Roon · assist M. Soule Malvano
  2. 25'Goal 1-1K. Mbappe · assist Y. Diomande
  3. 51'Goal 2-1D. Malen · assist R. Mora
  4. 57'Goal 3-1D. Malen · assist M. Soule Malvano
  5. 83'Goal 3-2C. Espi
  6. 85'Goal 3-3E. Moreira de Sousa · assist A. Guler
  7. 90'Goal 3-4A. Rüdiger · assist A. Guler

Match replay

Pressure by minute
20' de Roon25' Mbappe51' Malen57' Malen83' Espi85' Moreira de Sousa90' RüdigerHTFT
90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'FT
ROMA3–4RMA
ROMA attack →← RMA attack
Full time
Win chanceFTROMA win–Draw–RMA win–
90+5'RMA · Yellow card for A Carreras.
90+5'RMA · Shot off target.
90+3'ROMA · Shot blocked.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
ROMA123
RMA134
ROMA

Team stats

RMA
53%Possession47%
16Shots16
8On target8
5Corners9
26%Time attacking27%
14%Time in danger zone18%
15Fouls8
1Offsides1
3Yellow cards1

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
Real MadridWINNER
Yes
AS Roma
No
Draw
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: AS Roma vs. Real Madrid

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Roma wins the Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

AS Roma in Real Madrid CF @ AS Roma (Champions League); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 14, 2026 If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the AS Roma vs Real Madrid CF UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-10-14 3:00PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
Real MadridWINNER
51¢
AS Roma
26¢
Draw
24¢

Market recap

Real Madrid beat AS Roma 4-3. At kick-off the market gave Real Madrid a 51% chance, the favorite. Goals: M. de Roon 20', K. Mbappe 25', D. Malen 51', D. Malen 57', C. Espi 83', E. Moreira de Sousa 85' and A. Rüdiger 90'. Kalshi, Novig and Polymarket settled the market on Real Madrid.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the AS Roma vs. Real Madrid prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available AS Roma vs. Real Madrid odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do AS Roma vs. Real Madrid odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do AS Roma vs. Real Madrid prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.