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Live prediction market odds for FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade. Compare prices across .

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FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade Final Score & Odds

Conference League · Thu, Oct 15, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/UECL/FC Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda
  1. 90+4'
    RSB
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Matej Gashtarov.

  2. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    4 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  3. 90'
    LUG
    Penalty3-2

    A. Grgic

  4. 88'
    RSB
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Mahmudu Bajo.

  5. 88'
    RSB
    Substitution

    Marko Arnautovic comes on for Bamba Dieng.

  6. 84'
    LUG
    Goal2-2

    D. Moncada

  7. 82'
    RSB
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Stefan Gudelj.

  8. 81'
    RSB
    Substitution

    Mahmudu Bajo comes on for Rade Krunic.

  9. 80'
    LUG
    Substitution

    Beckham David Castro Espinosa comes on for Daniel Dos Santos Correia.

  10. 79'
    LUG
    Substitution

    Ezgjan Alioski comes on for Hannes Delcroix.

  11. 75'
    RSB
    Substitution

    Kristiyan Balov comes on for V Lučić.

  12. 75'
    RSB
    Substitution

    Matej Strika comes on for Mihailo Ristic.

  13. 73'
    LUG
    Substitution

    Dereck Moncada comes on for Bekhruz Karimov.

  14. 67'
    RSB
    Goal1-2

    R. Krunic

  15. 64'
    RSB
    Substitution

    Muhammed Cham comes on for Tomás Händel.

  16. 63'
    LUG
    Substitution

    K Behrens comes on for Albian Ajeti.

  17. 63'
    LUG
    Substitution

    Elias Pihlstrom comes on for Renato Steffen.

  18. 55'
    LUG
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for L Mai.

  19. 53'
    LUG
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Renato Steffen.

  20. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    1 minute of stoppage time announced.

  21. 33'
    RSB
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Vasilije Kostov.

  22. 32'
    RSB
    Goal1-1

    T. Elšnik

  23. 25'
    LUG
    Goal1-0

    A. Ajeti

    Assist: R. Steffen

Full timeUECL · Stadio Cornaredo
LUGFC Lugano · 1-0-0
3
FT
Full time
RSBCrvena Zvezda · 0-0-1
2
Pressure by minute
25' Ajeti32' Elšnik67' Krunic84' Moncada90' GrgicHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
LUG3–2RSB
LUG attack →← RSB attack
Full time
Win chanceFTLUG win–Draw–RSB win–
90+4'RSB · Yellow card for Matej Gashtarov.
90+3'LUG · Shot off target.
90+3'LUG · Corner taken.

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeUECL · Stadio Cornaredo
LUGFC Lugano · 1-0-0
3
FT
Full time
RSBCrvena Zvezda · 0-0-1
2
  1. 25'Goal 1-0A. Ajeti · assist R. Steffen
  2. 32'Goal 1-1T. Elšnik
  3. 67'Goal 1-2R. Krunic
  4. 84'Goal 2-2D. Moncada
  5. 90'Penalty 3-2A. Grgic

Match replay

Pressure by minute
25' Ajeti32' Elšnik67' Krunic84' Moncada90' GrgicHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
LUG3–2RSB
LUG attack →← RSB attack
Full time
Win chanceFTLUG win–Draw–RSB win–
90+4'RSB · Yellow card for Matej Gashtarov.
90+3'LUG · Shot off target.
90+3'LUG · Corner taken.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
LUG123
RSB112
LUG

Team stats

RSB
42%Possession58%
15Shots17
5On target4
5Corners3
31%Time attacking33%
11%Time in danger zone14%
8Fouls10
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards4

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
FC LuganoWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
Red Star Belgrade
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Lugano wins the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 15, 2026 If FC Lugano wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade UECL match scheduled for 2026-10-15 12:45PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
FC LuganoWINNER
45¢
Draw
26¢
Red Star Belgrade
30¢

Market recap

FC Lugano beat Red Star Belgrade 3-2. At kick-off the market gave FC Lugano a 45% chance, the favorite. Goals: A. Ajeti 25', T. Elšnik 32', R. Krunic 67', D. Moncada 84' and A. Grgic 90' (pen.). Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on FC Lugano.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do FC Lugano vs. Red Star Belgrade prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.