UEFA Nations League Champion
Live prediction market odds for UEFA Nations League Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 16 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Spain about a 41.8% chance. England follows at 18.0%, France follows at 18.0%, and Portugal follows at 9.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.6 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Wales is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The champion is decided through knockout rounds, culminating in a final match. Teams compete in semifinals, with the winners advancing to the final.
Odds fluctuate based on team performances in the knockout stages and the results of individual matches. Injuries, team form, and historical performance can also impact betting sentiment.
Scheduled trading close occurs on June 14, 2027. This deadline marks the end of trading before the final match determines the champion.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Spain: 44.5¢ on Kalshi, 39.0¢ on Polymarket; England: 20.5¢ on Kalshi, 15.5¢ on Polymarket; France: 17.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket; Portugal: 8.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
