If Abubakar Vagaev wins the Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Abubakar Vagaev in Jacob Malkoun @ Abubakar Vagaev (UFC); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun odds?

The latest available prices are Abubakar Vagaev: 59.5¢ on Kalshi, 59.5¢ on Polymarket, 59.3¢ on ProphetX, 59.0¢ on Polymarket US, 59.8¢ on Novig; Jacob Malkoun: 40.5¢ on Kalshi, 40.5¢ on Polymarket, 40.7¢ on ProphetX, 41.0¢ on Polymarket US, 40.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun prediction market payouts work?

For example, Abubakar Vagaev at 59.4¢ implies about a 59.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun

Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun

Related Markets

Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers

NFC West Division Winner

D.C. United vs. Toronto FC

Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Alba Rey Garcia vs. Aran Teixido Garcia

Related Markets

Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers

NFC West Division Winner

D.C. United vs. Toronto FC

Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Alba Rey Garcia vs. Aran Teixido Garcia

About This Market

Price History