Volkanovski vs. Evloev Prediction & Odds - Volkanovski 51¢

Kalshi

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Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Best price

AV

Alexander Volkanovski

51%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	50.5%	50¢	51¢	49¢	50¢
Polymarket US	51.5%	51¢	52¢	48¢	49¢
Novig	51.5%	51¢	52¢	48¢	49¢
Polymarket	49.5%	49¢	50¢	50¢	51¢
ProphetX	50.8%	50¢	52¢	48¢	50¢

ME

Movsar Evloev

49%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	49.5%	49¢	50¢	50¢	51¢
Polymarket US	48.5%	48¢	49¢	51¢	52¢
Novig	48.5%	48¢	49¢	51¢	52¢
Polymarket	50.5%	50¢	51¢	49¢	50¢
ProphetX	49.2%	48¢	50¢	50¢	52¢

Kalshi

Polymarket US Novig

Novig

Polymarket

ProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price

FW

Fight won by decision: No

single venue50%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	50.0%	27¢	50¢	50¢	73¢

FW

Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue37%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	37.0%	19¢	37¢	63¢	81¢

VT

Volkanovski to win by KO/TKO: No

single venue88%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	88.0%	51¢	88¢	12¢	49¢

FW

Fight won by decision: Yes

single venue73%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	73.0%	50¢	73¢	27¢	50¢

ET

Evloev to win by KO/TKO: No

single venue92%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	50.0%	27¢	50¢	50¢	73¢

ET

Evloev to win by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue48%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	37.0%	19¢	37¢	63¢	81¢

FW

Fight won by submission: Yes

single venue49%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	88.0%	51¢	88¢	12¢	49¢

FW

Fight won by submission: No

single venue94%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	73.0%	50¢	73¢	27¢	50¢

FW

Fight won by KO/TKO: No

single venue81%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	92.0%	52¢	92¢	8¢	48¢

VT

Volkanovski to win by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue49%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	48.0%	8¢	48¢	52¢	92¢

DC

Draw/No Contest

single venue2%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	49.0%	6¢	49¢	51¢	94¢

ME

Movsar Evloev by Decision

single venue34%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	94.0%	51¢	94¢	6¢	49¢

ME

Movsar Evloev by KO/TKO/DQ

single venue10%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	81.0%	63¢	81¢	19¢	37¢

ME

Movsar Evloev by Submission

single venue7%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	49.0%	12¢	49¢	51¢	88¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski by Decision

single venue32%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	1.5%	1¢	2¢	98¢	99¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski by KO/TKO/DQ

single venue19%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	33.5%	33¢	34¢	66¢	67¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski by Submission

single venue4%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	9.5%	9¢	10¢	90¢	91¢

Kalshi

Polymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Best price

ME

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 1

single venue4%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	3.5%	3¢	4¢	96¢	97¢

ME

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 2

single venue3%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	2.5%	2¢	3¢	97¢	98¢

ME

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 3

single venue4%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	3.5%	3¢	4¢	96¢	97¢

ME

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 4

single venue3%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	2.5%	2¢	3¢	97¢	98¢

ME

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 5

single venue3%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	2.5%	2¢	3¢	97¢	98¢

D/

Decision / Draw / No Contest

single venue65%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	64.5%	61¢	68¢	32¢	39¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 1

single venue6%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	5.5%	5¢	6¢	94¢	95¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 2

single venue4%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	3.5%	3¢	4¢	96¢	97¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 3

single venue4%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	3.5%	3¢	4¢	96¢	97¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 4

single venue3%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	2.5%	2¢	3¢	97¢	98¢

AV

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 5

single venue4%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	3.5%	3¢	4¢	96¢	97¢

Kalshi

Total Rounds

$34 VolBest price

Over 4.5 Rounds

Under 4.5 Rounds

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?

YES

NO

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Alex Volkanovski wins the Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Novig

Primary Rule

Alexander Volkanovski in Movsar Evloev @ Alexander Volkanovski (UFC); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev odds?

The latest available prices are Alexander Volkanovski: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 49.5¢ on Polymarket, 50.8¢ on ProphetX, 51.5¢ on Polymarket US, 51.5¢ on Novig; Movsar Evloev: 49.5¢ on Kalshi, 50.5¢ on Polymarket, 49.2¢ on ProphetX, 48.5¢ on Polymarket US, 48.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev prediction market payouts work?

For example, Alexander Volkanovski at 50.8¢ implies about a 50.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.