About This Market
Andre Fili vs.
Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III: UFC fight held on 2026-10-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III
Live prediction market odds for Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Oct 11, 2026. Andre Fili was the officially declared outcome.
Andre Fili vs.
Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III: UFC fight held on 2026-10-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Andre FiliWINNER | Yes |
Andre Fili by KO/TKO/DQ | Yes |
Andre Fili to win in Round 2 | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | Yes |
Fight won by decision: No | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by submission: No | Yes |
Fili to win by KO/TKO: Yes | Yes |
Kamaka III to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Over 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Andre Fili by Decision | No |
Andre Fili by Submission | No |
Andre Fili to win in Round 1 | No |
Andre Fili to win in Round 3 | No |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No |
Fight won by decision: Yes | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | No |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No |
Fili to win by KO/TKO: No | No |
Kai Kamaka III | No |
Kai Kamaka III by Decision | No |
Kai Kamaka III by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Kai Kamaka III by Submission | No |
Kai Kamaka III to win in Round 1 | No |
Kai Kamaka III to win in Round 2 | No |
Kai Kamaka III to win in Round 3 | No |
Kamaka III to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Over 1.5 Rounds | No |
Over 2.5 Rounds | No |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kai Kamaka III wins the Fili vs Kamaka III professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fili vs Kamaka III professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Andre Fili" if Andre Fili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kai Kamaka III at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Kai Kamaka III" if Kai Kamaka III is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.