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Live prediction market odds for Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas

2026-10-03

Best price · tap to trade

Damian Pinas81¢1.23xKalshiAndrey Pulyaev20¢5.00xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Damian Pinas about a 81.0% chance. Andrey Pulyaev follows at 21.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.1 percentage points.

Traders give Damian Pinas about a 81.0% chance. Andrey Pulyaev follows at 21.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.1 percentage points.

Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
DP
Damian Pinas
81%
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket US81¢
Novig81¢
Polymarket80¢
ProphetX84¢
Kalshi1.23x81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
81.0%80¢81¢19¢20¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
80.0%80¢81¢19¢20¢
NovigNovig
81.0%79¢81¢19¢21¢
PolymarketPolymarket
79.0%79¢80¢20¢21¢
ProphetXProphetX
84.1%77¢84¢16¢23¢
AP
Andrey Pulyaev
21%
Kalshi21¢
Polymarket US20¢
Novig21¢
Polymarket21¢
ProphetX23¢
Polymarket US5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
20.5%20¢21¢79¢80¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
20.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
NovigNovig
21.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
21.0%20¢21¢79¢80¢
ProphetXProphetX
22.6%16¢23¢77¢84¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket96¢
Fight won by decision?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Pinas to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket96¢
NOPolymarket96¢
Pulyaev to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket96¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket49¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket54¢
Polymarket1.85x54¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket31¢
NOPolymarket80¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.1%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Damian Pinas

81.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Andrey Pulyaev wins the Pinas vs Pulyaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Pinas vs Pulyaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Andrey Pulyaev in Andrey Pulyaev @ Damian Pinas (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Andrey Pulyaev" if Andrey Pulyaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Damian Pinas" if Damian Pinas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Damian Pinas vs Andrey Pulyaev UFC fight scheduled for October 3 at 4:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas odds?

The latest available prices are Damian Pinas: 81.0¢ on Kalshi, 79.0¢ on Polymarket, 84.1¢ on ProphetX, 80.0¢ on Polymarket US, 81.0¢ on Novig; Andrey Pulyaev: 20.5¢ on Kalshi, 21.0¢ on Polymarket, 22.6¢ on ProphetX, 20.0¢ on Polymarket US, 21.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas prediction market payouts work?

For example, Damian Pinas at 81.0¢ implies about a 81.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Damian Pinas

Smart Money Consensus$484
$484Damian Pinas
Smart Traders Split1
1Damian Pinas
KalshiBuy Yes at 81¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Damian Pinas$484 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow