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Live prediction market odds for Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket

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Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand

2026-10-03

Best price · tap to trade

Anthony Wint78¢1.28xKalshiLucas Armand23¢4.35xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Anthony Wint about a 77.9% chance. Lucas Armand follows at 23.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.5 percentage points.

Traders give Anthony Wint about a 77.9% chance. Lucas Armand follows at 23.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.5 percentage points.

Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
Best price
AW
Anthony Wint
78%
Kalshi78¢
Polymarket US78¢
Novig82¢
Polymarket77¢
Kalshi1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
78.0%77¢78¢22¢23¢
NovigNovig
81.5%75¢82¢19¢25¢
PolymarketPolymarket
75.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
LA
Lucas Armand
24%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket US23¢
Novig25¢
Polymarket25¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%22¢23¢77¢78¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
22.0%22¢23¢77¢78¢
NovigNovig
25.0%18¢25¢75¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Wint to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by decision?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Armand to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket96¢
NOPolymarket97¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket1.05x95¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket31¢
NOPolymarket97¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Anthony Wint

77.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Anthony Wint wins the Wint vs Armand professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Wint vs Armand professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Anthony Wint in Lucas Armand @ Anthony Wint (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Anthony Wint" if Anthony Wint is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Armand at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Armand" if Lucas Armand is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Anthony Wint vs Lucas Armand UFC fight scheduled for October 3 at 4:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand odds?

The latest available prices are Anthony Wint: 77.0¢ on Kalshi, 75.0¢ on Polymarket, 78.0¢ on Polymarket US, 81.5¢ on Novig; Lucas Armand: 23.0¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket, 22.0¢ on Polymarket US, 25.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand prediction market payouts work?

For example, Anthony Wint at 77.9¢ implies about a 77.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.