Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon
Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon
Live prediction market odds for Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 8, 2026. Austin Bashi was the officially declared outcome.
Austin Bashi vs.
Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon: UFC fight held on 2026-11-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Austin BashiWINNER | Yes |
Austin Bashi by Submission | Yes |
Austin Bashi to win in Round 1 | Yes |
Bashi to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Calderon to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | Yes |
Fight won by decision: No | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight won by submission: Yes | Yes |
Under 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Austin Bashi by Decision | No |
Austin Bashi by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Austin Bashi to win in Round 2 | No |
Austin Bashi to win in Round 3 | No |
Bashi to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Calderon to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Carlos Calderon | No |
Carlos Calderon by Decision | No |
Carlos Calderon by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Carlos Calderon by Submission | No |
Carlos Calderon to win in Round 1 | No |
Carlos Calderon to win in Round 2 | No |
Carlos Calderon to win in Round 3 | No |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No |
Fight won by decision: Yes | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Fight won by submission: No | No |
Over 0.5 Rounds | No |
Over 1.5 Rounds | No |
Over 2.5 Rounds | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Austin Bashi wins the Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigAustin Bashi in Carlos Calderon @ Austin Bashi (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Carlos Calderon at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Carlos Calderon" if Carlos Calderon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon UFC fight scheduled for November 7 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.