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Live prediction market odds for Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales

2026-09-12

Best price · tap to trade

Joseph Morales1¢100.00xKalshiBrandon Moreno48¢2.08xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Joseph Morales about a 31.2% chance. Brandon Moreno follows at 70.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 53.0 percentage points.

Traders give Joseph Morales about a 31.2% chance. Brandon Moreno follows at 70.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 53.0 percentage points.

Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
BM
Brandon MorenoARB
70%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US48¢
Novig50¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX55¢
Polymarket US2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
47.0%46¢48¢52¢54¢
NovigNovig
49.0%48¢50¢50¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
54.0%53¢55¢45¢47¢
JM
Joseph MoralesARB
39%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US52¢
Novig51¢
—
ProphetX53¢
Kalshi200.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
51.0%50¢52¢48¢50¢
NovigNovig
50.0%49¢51¢49¢51¢
ProphetXProphetX
52.0%51¢53¢47¢49¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Morales to win by KO/TKO?
YES-
NOPolymarket86¢
Moreno to win by KO/TKO?
YES-
NOPolymarket80¢
Fight won by submission?
YES-
NOPolymarket79¢
Fight won by KO/TKO?
YES-
NOPolymarket73¢

Total Rounds

Over 1.5 RoundsYes
Under 1.5 RoundsNo

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YES-
NOPolymarket0¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread53.0%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Joseph Morales

31.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Brandon Moreno wins the Moreno vs Morales professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Moreno vs Morales professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Brandon Moreno in Joseph Morales @ Brandon Moreno (UFC); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Brandon Moreno" if Brandon Moreno is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joseph Morales at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Joseph Morales" if Joseph Morales is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales UFC fight scheduled for September 12 at 2:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales odds?

The latest available prices are Joseph Morales: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 53.1¢ on ProphetX, 52.0¢ on Polymarket US, 50.5¢ on Novig; Brandon Moreno: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 55.0¢ on ProphetX, 48.0¢ on Polymarket US, 49.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 53.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales prediction market payouts work?

For example, Joseph Morales at 31.2¢ implies about a 31.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.