Traders give Joe Burrow about a 80.0% chance. Dak Prescott follows at 79.0%, Jordan Love follows at 75.0%, and Trevor Lawrence follows at 73.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Joe Burrow about a 80.0% chance. Dak Prescott follows at 79.0%, Jordan Love follows at 75.0%, and Trevor Lawrence follows at 73.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi is tracking the Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season event. This market reflects the performance expectations of quarterbacks and factors like team dynamics, offensive strategies, and player health that influence passing yard totals throughout the season.
Joe Burrow is the quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals. He led the NFL with 4,918 passing yards and 43 touchdowns in 2024. Burrow holds several Bengals franchise records and has been selected to the Pro Bowl three times.
About Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott is the starting quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. He led the NFL with 36 touchdown passes in the 2023 season, earning a second-place finish in MVP voting. Prescott holds several Cowboys team records, including passing yards, completion percentage, and games with three or more touchdown passes.
About Jordan Love
Jordan Love is the starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers. He led the Packers to the playoffs in his first full season as a starter in 2023. Love has demonstrated consistent performance, ranking among the top quarterbacks in passing touchdowns and passer rating since 2023.
About Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence is the starting quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He led the team to its first playoff victory since 2017. As the Jaguars' leader, he is central to their offensive strategy and performance.
About Brock Purdy
Brock Purdy is the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers. He led the team to a Super Bowl appearance in 2023, setting a franchise record for single-season passing yards. Purdy's performance has established him as a key figure in the 49ers' offense.
About Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. He led the team to a Super Bowl victory in 2023, earning his third Super Bowl MVP award. Mahomes is known for his exceptional passing skills and leadership on the field.
About Bryce Young
Bryce Young is the starting quarterback for the Carolina Panthers. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2021 while playing for the Alabama Crimson Tide. As the first overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, he has been leading the Panthers' offense since his rookie season.
About Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson is the quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens. He won the NFL MVP award in 2019 and 2023. Jackson has a strong track record of passing and rushing yards, demonstrating his dual-threat capabilities.
About Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold is the starting quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks. He was drafted third overall by the New York Jets in 2018 and has played for the Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers. Darnold has accumulated over 20,000 passing yards and 120 touchdowns in his NFL career.
About Jalen Hurts
Jalen Hurts is the starting quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles. He led the Eagles to a Super Bowl victory in 2024 and was named Super Bowl MVP. Hurts has been selected to three Pro Bowls and earned a second-team All-Pro honor in 2022.
About Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Rams. He led the Rams to a Super Bowl victory in 2022, earning the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award in 2011. Stafford's consistent performance and leadership have solidified his reputation as one of the NFL's top quarterbacks.
About Drake Maye
Drake Maye is the starting quarterback for the New England Patriots. He was selected third overall in the 2024 NFL Draft after a standout college career at the University of North Carolina. Maye's strong arm and mobility have established him as a promising young talent in the NFL.
About Josh Allen
Josh Allen is the quarterback for the Buffalo Bills in the NFL. He was named the NFL Most Valuable Player in 2024. Allen has led the Bills to multiple playoff appearances and division titles.
About Malik Willis
Malik Willis is a quarterback for the Miami Dolphins. He was drafted by the Tennessee Titans in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft. Willis has demonstrated versatility with both passing and rushing abilities, making him a dual-threat quarterback.
About Bo Nix
Bo Nix is the starting quarterback for the Denver Broncos in the NFL. He led the Oregon Ducks to a 12-2 record in 2023, setting NCAA records for completion percentage and passing touchdowns. Nix's exceptional performance in college established him as a top quarterback prospect, earning him the 12th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.
About Cam Ward
Cam Ward is the starting quarterback for the Tennessee Titans in the NFL. He was selected first overall in the 2025 NFL Draft after a standout college career at the University of Miami, where he set multiple program records and was a Heisman Trophy finalist. Ward's impressive performance in college, including leading the nation in passing touchdowns, underscores his potential to achieve 3,500+ passing yards in a professional season.
About Jared Goff
Jared Goff is the starting quarterback for the Detroit Lions. He led the team to a 15-2 record in the 2024 season, earning a spot in the Pro Bowl. Goff has consistently surpassed 3,500 passing yards in multiple seasons, demonstrating his reliability and skill as a quarterback.
About Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield is the starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He led the team to a 9–8 record and a Wild Card playoff victory in 2023. Mayfield has a history of high passing yardage seasons, including over 4,000 yards in 2023.
About Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough is a quarterback for the New Orleans Saints. He transferred to Louisville in 2024, leading the team to an 8–4 record and ranking 14th in FBS with 3,195 passing yards. Shough's experience and performance in college football make him a relevant candidate for this prediction market.
About Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray is the starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings. He was drafted first overall by the Arizona Cardinals in 2019 and won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Murray has been selected to two Pro Bowls and led the Cardinals to their first playoff appearance since 2015.
About Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams is the starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears in the NFL. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2022 after leading USC to a 11–3 record with 4,537 passing yards and 42 touchdowns. Williams holds the NFL record for most consecutive passing attempts without an interception by a rookie, with 354 in 2024.
About Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert is the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers. He was named the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2020. Herbert has consistently demonstrated high passing yardage, surpassing 3,500 yards in each of his first three seasons.
About Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels is the starting quarterback for the Washington Commanders in the NFL. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2023 after leading LSU to a national championship. Daniels holds the FBS single-season passer rating record and is the only player with 12,000 passing and 3,000 rushing yards in a career.
About Jaxson Dart
Jaxson Dart is the starting quarterback for the New York Giants in the NFL. He led Ole Miss to back-to-back 10-win seasons and set the program's passing yards record, surpassing Eli Manning. Dart's dual-threat capabilities, with over 1,500 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns in college, highlight his versatility.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Josh Allen records 3500+ passing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
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What does it mean to pass for 3500+ yards in a season?
Passing for 3500+ yards signifies a quarterback's ability to lead their team offensively. Achieving this milestone often indicates a strong passing game and can impact a player's career trajectory.
How do team dynamics affect passing yard totals?
Team dynamics, including offensive line performance and receiving corps strength, play a crucial role in a quarterback's ability to accumulate passing yards. A well-coordinated offense can enhance a quarterback's effectiveness and yardage.
What external factors influence quarterback performance?
External factors such as weather conditions, game location, and defensive matchups can significantly impact a quarterback's performance. These elements can lead to fluctuations in passing yard totals throughout the season.
What does the Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season odds?
The latest available prices are Joe Burrow: 80.0¢ on Kalshi; Dak Prescott: 79.0¢ on Kalshi; Jordan Love: 75.0¢ on Kalshi; Trevor Lawrence: 73.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
