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Live prediction market odds for Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket

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Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso

2026-09-29

Best price · tap to trade

Aieza Bertolso80¢1.25xKalshiCamila Reynoso21¢4.76xNovig
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Aieza Bertolso about a 79.0% chance. Camila Reynoso follows at 21.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Aieza Bertolso about a 79.0% chance. Camila Reynoso follows at 21.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
NovigNovig
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AB
Aieza Bertolso
79%
Kalshi80¢
Novig80¢
Polymarket78¢
Kalshi1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
79.5%79¢80¢20¢21¢
NovigNovig
80.0%79¢80¢20¢21¢
PolymarketPolymarket
77.5%77¢78¢22¢23¢
CR
Camila Reynoso
22%
Kalshi22¢
Novig21¢
Polymarket23¢
Novig4.76x21¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%21¢22¢78¢79¢
NovigNovig
21.0%20¢21¢79¢80¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AB
Aieza Bertolso by Submission
single venue47%
Kalshi47¢
—
Kalshi2.13x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
47.0%44¢47¢53¢56¢
AB
Aieza Bertolso by Decision
single venue38%
Kalshi38¢
—
Kalshi2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
38.0%14¢38¢62¢86¢
CR
Camila Reynoso by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue19%
Kalshi19¢
—
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%16¢19¢81¢84¢
CR
Camila Reynoso by Decision
single venue49%
Kalshi49¢
—
Kalshi2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%0¢49¢51¢100¢
CR
Camila Reynoso by Submission
single venue49%
Kalshi49¢
—
Kalshi2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%0¢49¢51¢100¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue4%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
AB
Aieza Bertolso by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue49%
Kalshi49¢
—
Kalshi2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%0¢49¢51¢100¢
RT
Reynoso to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue96%
—
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%75¢96¢4¢25¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%30¢97¢3¢70¢
BT
Bertolso to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%4¢97¢3¢96¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue96%
—
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%4¢96¢4¢96¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue96%
—
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%4¢96¢4¢96¢
BT
Bertolso to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue96%
—
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%3¢96¢4¢97¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue70%
—
Polymarket70¢
Polymarket1.43x70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
70.0%3¢70¢30¢97¢
RT
Reynoso to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue25%
—
Polymarket25¢
Polymarket4.00x25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%4¢25¢75¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue74%
Kalshi74¢
Kalshi1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
74.0%3¢74¢26¢97¢
CR
Camila Reynoso to win in Round 2
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
CR
Camila Reynoso to win in Round 1
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
AB
Aieza Bertolso to win in Round 2
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
AB
Aieza Bertolso to win in Round 3
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
AB
Aieza Bertolso to win in Round 1
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
CR
Camila Reynoso to win in Round 3
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket79¢
NOPolymarket84¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Aieza Bertolso

79.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Aieza Bertolso wins the Bertolso vs Reynoso professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Bertolso vs Reynoso professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Aieza Bertolso in Camila Reynoso @ Aieza Bertolso (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Camila Reynoso" if Camila Reynoso is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aieza Bertolso at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Aieza Bertolso" if Aieza Bertolso is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso odds?

The latest available prices are Aieza Bertolso: 79.5¢ on Kalshi, 77.5¢ on Polymarket, 80.0¢ on Novig; Camila Reynoso: 22.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket, 21.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso prediction market payouts work?

For example, Aieza Bertolso at 79.0¢ implies about a 79.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.