About This Market
Chris Padilla vs.
Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast: UFC fight held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast
Live prediction market odds for Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast. Compare prices across .

Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Aug 23, 2026. Chris Padilla was the officially declared outcome.
Chris Padilla vs.
Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast: UFC fight held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Chris PadillaWINNER | Yes |
Christopher Padilla by Submission | Yes |
Christopher Padilla to win in Round 3 | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | No result |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No result |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | No result |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No result |
Fight won by submission: No | No result |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No result |
Haqparast to win by KO/TKO: No | No result |
Haqparast to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No result |
Over 0.5 Rounds | No result |
Over 1.5 Rounds | No result |
Over 2.5 Rounds | No result |
Padilla to win by KO/TKO: No | No result |
Padilla to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No result |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No result |
Under 1.5 Rounds | No result |
Under 2.5 Rounds | No result |
Christopher Padilla by Decision | No |
Christopher Padilla by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Christopher Padilla to win in Round 1 | No |
Christopher Padilla to win in Round 2 | No |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Nasrat Haqparast | No |
Nasrat Haqparast by Decision | No |
Nasrat Haqparast by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Nasrat Haqparast by Submission | No |
Nasrat Haqparast to win in Round 1 | No |
Nasrat Haqparast to win in Round 2 | No |
Nasrat Haqparast to win in Round 3 | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Nasrat Haqparast wins the Padilla vs Haqparast professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Padilla vs Haqparast professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast UFC fight scheduled for August 22 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.