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Live prediction market odds for Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 20, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Daniel Santos53¢1.89xKalshiBolaji Oki48¢2.08xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Daniel Santos about a 52.0% chance. Bolaji Oki follows at 48.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Daniel Santos about a 52.0% chance. Bolaji Oki follows at 48.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
DS
Daniel Santos
52%
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket US53¢
Novig53¢
Polymarket52¢
ProphetX54¢
Kalshi1.89x53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
52.5%52¢53¢47¢48¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
52.5%52¢53¢47¢48¢
NovigNovig
52.0%51¢53¢47¢49¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.5%51¢52¢48¢49¢
ProphetXProphetX
51.7%49¢54¢46¢51¢
BO
Bolaji Oki
48%
Kalshi48¢
Polymarket US48¢
Novig49¢
Polymarket49¢
ProphetX51¢
Kalshi2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
47.5%47¢48¢52¢53¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
47.5%47¢48¢52¢53¢
NovigNovig
48.0%47¢49¢51¢53¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
ProphetXProphetX
48.3%46¢51¢49¢54¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue96%
—
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%6¢96¢4¢94¢
ST
Santos to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue93%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%7¢93¢7¢93¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
OT
Oki to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%7¢94¢6¢93¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%6¢94¢6¢94¢
OT
Oki to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue93%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%6¢93¢7¢94¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%6¢94¢6¢94¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%4¢94¢6¢96¢
ST
Santos to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue93%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%7¢93¢7¢93¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
BO
Bolaji Oki by Decision
single venue16%
Kalshi17¢
—
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%14¢17¢83¢86¢
BO
Bolaji Oki by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue27%
Kalshi28¢
—
Kalshi3.57x28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%26¢28¢72¢74¢
BO
Bolaji Oki by Submission
single venue3%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
DG
Daniel Gustavo Santos by Decision
single venue20%
Kalshi20¢
—
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.5%19¢20¢80¢81¢
DG
Daniel Gustavo Santos by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue20%
Kalshi20¢
—
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.5%19¢20¢80¢81¢
DG
Daniel Gustavo Santos by Submission
single venue13%
Kalshi14¢
—
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
BO
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 1
single venue15%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
BO
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 2
single venue9%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%7¢11¢89¢93¢
DG
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 1
single venue17%
Kalshi19¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%15¢19¢81¢85¢
DG
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 2
single venue10%
Kalshi13¢
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%7¢13¢87¢93¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket42¢
Polymarket2.33x43¢
Under 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket58¢
Polymarket1.69x59¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket36¢
NOPolymarket64¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$51K
Leader

Daniel Santos

52.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Daniel Gustavo Santos wins the Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Gustavo Santos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Daniel Santos in Daniel Santos @ Bolaji Oki (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Daniel Santos" if Daniel Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bolaji Oki at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Bolaji Oki" if Bolaji Oki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki odds?

The latest available prices are Daniel Santos: 52.5¢ on Kalshi, 51.5¢ on Polymarket, 51.7¢ on ProphetX, 52.5¢ on Polymarket US, 52.0¢ on Novig; Bolaji Oki: 47.5¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket, 48.3¢ on ProphetX, 47.5¢ on Polymarket US, 48.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki prediction market payouts work?

For example, Daniel Santos at 52.0¢ implies about a 52.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.