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Live prediction market odds for Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Payton Talbott82¢1.22xKalshiDeiveson Figueiredo20¢5.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Payton Talbott about a 81.5% chance. Deiveson Figueiredo follows at 19.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Payton Talbott about a 81.5% chance. Deiveson Figueiredo follows at 19.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
PT
Payton Talbott
82%
Kalshi82¢
Polymarket82¢
Kalshi1.22x82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
82.0%81¢82¢18¢19¢
PolymarketPolymarket
81.0%80¢82¢18¢20¢
DF
Deiveson Figueiredo
19%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket20¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Method of Victory

Fight won by decision?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket96¢
NOPolymarket96¢
Figueiredo to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Talbott to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket94¢
Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket95¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket52¢
Polymarket1.92x52¢
Under 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.00x50¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket50¢
NOPolymarket61¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Payton Talbott

81.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Payton Talbott wins the Figueiredo vs Talbott professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Figueiredo vs Talbott professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Payton Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott odds?

The latest available prices are Payton Talbott: 82.0¢ on Kalshi, 81.0¢ on Polymarket; Deiveson Figueiredo: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott prediction market payouts work?

For example, Payton Talbott at 81.5¢ implies about a 81.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.