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Live prediction market odds for Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket

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Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde

2026-09-29

Best price · tap to trade

Ilias Bulaid55¢1.82xKalshiErick Visconde47¢2.13xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Ilias Bulaid about a 54.3% chance. Erick Visconde follows at 47.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Ilias Bulaid about a 54.3% chance. Erick Visconde follows at 47.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
NovigNovig
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
IB
Ilias Bulaid
54%
Kalshi55¢
Novig55¢
Polymarket54¢
Kalshi1.82x55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
55.0%54¢55¢45¢46¢
NovigNovig
55.0%53¢55¢45¢47¢
PolymarketPolymarket
53.0%53¢54¢46¢47¢
EV
Erick Visconde
47%
Kalshi47¢
Novig47¢
Polymarket47¢
Kalshi2.13x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
47.0%46¢47¢53¢54¢
NovigNovig
47.0%45¢47¢53¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
47.0%46¢47¢53¢54¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
IB
Ilias Bulaid by Submission
single venue37%
Kalshi37¢
—
Kalshi2.70x37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
37.0%14¢37¢63¢86¢
IB
Ilias Bulaid by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue49%
Kalshi49¢
—
Kalshi2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%0¢49¢51¢100¢
EV
Erick Visconde by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue39%
Kalshi39¢
—
Kalshi2.56x39¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
39.0%9¢39¢61¢91¢
EV
Erick Visconde by Decision
single venue43%
Kalshi43¢
—
Kalshi2.33x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
43.0%2¢43¢57¢98¢
IB
Ilias Bulaid by Decision
single venue34%
Kalshi34¢
—
Kalshi2.94x34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
34.0%2¢34¢66¢98¢
EV
Erick Visconde by Submission
single venue49%
Kalshi49¢
—
Kalshi2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%0¢49¢51¢100¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue4%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue95%
—
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%31¢95¢5¢69¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%16¢97¢3¢84¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%5¢97¢3¢95¢
BT
Bulaid to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
BT
Bulaid to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
VT
Visconde to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%4¢97¢3¢96¢
VT
Visconde to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue96%
—
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%3¢96¢4¢97¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue95%
—
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%3¢95¢5¢97¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue84%
—
Polymarket84¢
Polymarket1.19x84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
84.0%3¢84¢16¢97¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue69%
—
Polymarket69¢
Polymarket1.45x69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
69.0%5¢69¢31¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue39%
Kalshi39¢
Kalshi2.56x39¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
39.0%0¢39¢61¢100¢
IB
Ilias Bulaid to win in Round 1
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
EV
Erick Visconde to win in Round 1
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%3¢15¢85¢97¢
IB
Ilias Bulaid to win in Round 3
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
EV
Erick Visconde to win in Round 2
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
IB
Ilias Bulaid to win in Round 2
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
EV
Erick Visconde to win in Round 3
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
Under 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket61¢
NOPolymarket87¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Ilias Bulaid

54.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Erick Visconde wins the Bulaid vs Visconde professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Bulaid vs Visconde professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Erick Visconde in Erick Visconde @ Ilias Bulaid (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde odds?

The latest available prices are Ilias Bulaid: 55.0¢ on Kalshi, 53.0¢ on Polymarket, 55.0¢ on Novig; Erick Visconde: 47.0¢ on Kalshi, 47.0¢ on Polymarket, 47.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde prediction market payouts work?

For example, Ilias Bulaid at 54.3¢ implies about a 54.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Ilias Bulaid

Smart Money Consensus$100
$100Ilias Bulaid
Smart Traders Split1
1Ilias Bulaid
KalshiBuy Yes at 55¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Ilias Bulaid$100 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow