About This Market
Traders give Ciryl Gane about a 65.1% chance. Josh Hokit follows at 34.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Live prediction market odds for Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
Game starts Listed Updated
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Price History
Multi-Platform ProbabilitiesLoading 30D data…
Live Markets
5 platforms
Moneyline
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXMethod of Victory
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiNovigPolymarketFE
Fight ends in a draw: Nosingle venue99%
KalshiNovigPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Round of Victory
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshiTotal Rounds
Goes the Distance
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiPrimary Rule
If Josh Hokit wins the Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Resolution Oracles
NovigPrimary Rule
Josh Hokit in Josh Hokit @ Ciryl Gane (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketPrimary Rule
This market will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPrimary Rule
This market will settle to the winner of the Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit UFC fight scheduled for November 14 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXPrimary Rule
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Resolution Oracles
UnderdogPrimary Rule
Gane vs Hokit Moneyline (vs Ciryl Gane): Josh Hokit to win in Gane vs Hokit; settled by Underdog.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane odds?
The latest available prices are Ciryl Gane: 65.5¢ on Kalshi, 65.5¢ on Polymarket, 64.5¢ on ProphetX, 65.5¢ on Polymarket US, 64.5¢ on Novig; Josh Hokit: 33.5¢ on Kalshi, 34.5¢ on Polymarket, 35.5¢ on ProphetX, 34.5¢ on Polymarket US, 35.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Why do Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane odds vary across prediction markets?
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
How do Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane prediction market payouts work?
For example, Ciryl Gane at 65.1¢ implies about a 65.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.