Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid
Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid
Live prediction market odds for Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 8, 2026. Ollie Schmid was the officially declared outcome.
Keiichiro Nakamura vs.
Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid: UFC fight held on 2026-11-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by decision: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight won by submission: No | Yes |
Nakamura to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Ollie SchmidWINNER | Yes |
Over 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Schmid to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | No |
Fight won by decision: No | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No |
Keiichiro Nakamura | No |
Nakamura to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Schmid to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No |
Under 1.5 Rounds | No |
Under 2.5 Rounds | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Ollie Schmid wins the Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigOllie Schmid in Ollie Schmid @ Keiichiro Nakamura (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid UFC fight scheduled for November 7 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.