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PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics

2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Esteban Ribovics70¢1.43xKalshiKing Green33¢3.03xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Esteban Ribovics about a 68.0% chance. King Green follows at 31.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Esteban Ribovics about a 68.0% chance. King Green follows at 31.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
ER
Esteban Ribovics
68%
Kalshi70¢
Polymarket69¢
Kalshi1.43x70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
69.0%69¢70¢30¢31¢
PolymarketPolymarket
67.0%67¢69¢31¢33¢
KG
King Green
32%
Kalshi33¢
Polymarket33¢
Kalshi3.03x33¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
32.5%32¢33¢67¢68¢
PolymarketPolymarket
31.0%31¢33¢67¢69¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by decision?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket96¢
NOPolymarket89¢
Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket95¢
Green to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket94¢
NOPolymarket94¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket67¢
Polymarket1.49x67¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket39¢
Polymarket2.56x39¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket42¢
NOPolymarket69¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Esteban Ribovics

68.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Esteban Ribovics wins the Green vs Ribovics professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Green vs Ribovics professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "King Green" if King Green is officially declared the winner of the fight against Esteban Ribovics at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Esteban Ribovics" if Esteban Ribovics is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics odds?

The latest available prices are Esteban Ribovics: 69.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket; King Green: 32.5¢ on Kalshi, 31.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics prediction market payouts work?

For example, Esteban Ribovics at 68.0¢ implies about a 68.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Esteban Ribovics

Smart Money Consensus$202
$202Esteban Ribovics
Smart Traders Split1
1Esteban Ribovics
KalshiBuy Yes at 70¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Esteban Ribovics$202 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow