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Live prediction market odds for Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj

2026-10-03

Best price · tap to trade

Marcus McGhee58¢1.72xPolymarket USBernardo Sopaj43¢2.33xNovig
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Marcus McGhee about a 59.0% chance. Bernardo Sopaj follows at 43.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.2 percentage points.

Traders give Marcus McGhee about a 59.0% chance. Bernardo Sopaj follows at 43.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.2 percentage points.

Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
MM
Marcus McGhee
59%
Kalshi59¢
Polymarket US58¢
Novig59¢
Polymarket58¢
ProphetX61¢
Polymarket US1.72x58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
59.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
58.0%57¢58¢42¢43¢
NovigNovig
59.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.0%56¢58¢42¢44¢
ProphetXProphetX
60.8%54¢61¢39¢46¢
BS
Bernardo Sopaj
44%
Kalshi44¢
—
Novig43¢
Polymarket44¢
ProphetX46¢
Novig2.33x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
43.5%43¢44¢56¢57¢
NovigNovig
43.0%41¢43¢57¢59¢
PolymarketPolymarket
43.0%42¢44¢56¢58¢
ProphetXProphetX
46.2%39¢46¢54¢61¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
McGhee to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Sopaj to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by decision?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
Under 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.00x50¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket94¢
NOPolymarket93¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.2%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Marcus McGhee

59.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Bernardo Sopaj wins the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Bernardo Sopaj in Bernardo Sopaj @ Marcus McGhee (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Marcus McGhee vs Benardo Sopaj UFC fight scheduled for October 3 at 4:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj odds?

The latest available prices are Marcus McGhee: 59.0¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket, 60.8¢ on ProphetX, 58.0¢ on Polymarket US, 59.0¢ on Novig; Bernardo Sopaj: 43.5¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket, 46.2¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj prediction market payouts work?

For example, Marcus McGhee at 59.0¢ implies about a 59.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.