About This Market
Marvin Vettori vs.
Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev: UFC fight held on 2026-10-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev
Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev
Live prediction market odds for Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 4, 2026. Ismail Naurdiev was the officially declared outcome.
Marvin Vettori vs.
Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev: UFC fight held on 2026-10-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Decision / Draw / No Contest | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by decision: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight won by submission: No | Yes |
Ismail NaurdievWINNER | Yes |
Ismail Naurdiev by Decision | Yes |
Naurdiev to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Over 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Vettori to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | No |
Fight won by decision: No | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No |
Ismail Naurdiev by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Ismail Naurdiev by Submission | No |
Ismail Naurdiev to win in Round 1 | No |
Ismail Naurdiev to win in Round 2 | No |
Ismail Naurdiev to win in Round 3 | No |
Marvin Vettori | No |
Marvin Vettori by Decision | No |
Marvin Vettori by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Marvin Vettori by Submission | No |
Marvin Vettori to win in Round 1 | No |
Marvin Vettori to win in Round 2 | No |
Marvin Vettori to win in Round 3 | No |
Naurdiev to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No |
Under 1.5 Rounds | No |
Under 2.5 Rounds | No |
Vettori to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigIsmail Naurdiev in Ismail Naurdiev @ Marvin Vettori (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev UFC fight scheduled for October 3 at 4:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.