About This Market
Mason Jones vs.
Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos: UFC fight held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos
Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos
Live prediction market odds for Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Aug 24, 2026. MarQuel Mederos was the officially declared outcome.
Mason Jones vs.
Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos: UFC fight held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
MarQuel MederosWINNER | Yes |
Marquel Mederos by KO/TKO/DQ | Yes |
Marquel Mederos to win in Round 2 | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | No result |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No result |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | No result |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No result |
Fight won by submission: No | No result |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No result |
Jones to win by KO/TKO: No | No result |
Jones to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No result |
Mederos to win by KO/TKO: No | No result |
Mederos to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No result |
Over 0.5 Rounds | No result |
Over 1.5 Rounds | No result |
Over 2.5 Rounds | No result |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No result |
Under 1.5 Rounds | No result |
Under 2.5 Rounds | No result |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Marquel Mederos by Decision | No |
Marquel Mederos by Submission | No |
Marquel Mederos to win in Round 1 | No |
Marquel Mederos to win in Round 3 | No |
Mason Jones | No |
Mason Jones by Decision | No |
Mason Jones by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Mason Jones by Submission | No |
Mason Jones to win in Round 1 | No |
Mason Jones to win in Round 2 | No |
Mason Jones to win in Round 3 | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marquel Mederos wins the Mederos vs Jones professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mederos vs Jones professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketEach market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Mason Jones and MarQuel Mederos at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 5, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.