About This Market
Mateus Soares vs.
Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi: UFC fight held on 2026-10-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi
Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi
Live prediction market odds for Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 7, 2026. Mateus Soares was the officially declared outcome.
Mateus Soares vs.
Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi: UFC fight held on 2026-10-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: No | Yes |
Fight won by decision: No | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by submission: No | Yes |
Mateus SoaresWINNER | Yes |
Mateus Soares by KO/TKO/DQ | Yes |
Mateus Soares to win in Round 1 | Yes |
Miyaguchi to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Soares to win by KO/TKO: Yes | Yes |
Under 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No |
Fight won by decision: Yes | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | No |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No |
Mateus Soares by Decision | No |
Mateus Soares by Submission | No |
Mateus Soares to win in Round 2 | No |
Mateus Soares to win in Round 3 | No |
Miyaguchi to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Over 0.5 Rounds | No |
Over 1.5 Rounds | No |
Over 2.5 Rounds | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi by Decision | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi by Submission | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi to win in Round 1 | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi to win in Round 2 | No |
Ryuho Miyaguchi to win in Round 3 | No |
Soares to win by KO/TKO: No | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Mateus Soares wins the Miyaguchi vs Soares professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miyaguchi vs Soares professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigMateus Soares in Mateus Soares @ Ryuho Miyaguchi (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Mateus Soares" if Mateus Soares is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryuho Miyaguchi at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, scheduled for October 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryuho Miyaguchi" if Ryuho Miyaguchi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.