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PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong

2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Natalia Silva67¢1.49xKalshiWang Cong35¢2.86xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Natalia Silva about a 65.8% chance. Wang Cong follows at 35.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Natalia Silva about a 65.8% chance. Wang Cong follows at 35.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
NS
Natalia Silva
66%
Kalshi67¢
Polymarket65¢
Kalshi1.49x67¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
67.0%66¢67¢33¢34¢
PolymarketPolymarket
64.5%64¢65¢35¢36¢
WC
Wang Cong
35%
Kalshi35¢
Polymarket36¢
Kalshi2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
35.0%34¢35¢65¢66¢
PolymarketPolymarket
35.5%35¢36¢64¢65¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Fight won by decision?
YESPolymarket97¢
NOPolymarket97¢
Silva to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket94¢
Cong to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket95¢
Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket95¢
NOPolymarket95¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 4.5 Rounds
Polymarket74¢
Polymarket1.35x74¢
Under 4.5 Rounds
Polymarket29¢
Polymarket3.45x29¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket75¢
NOPolymarket36¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Natalia Silva

65.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Natalia Silva wins the Silva vs Cong professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Silva vs Cong professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Natalia Silva" if Natalia Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Wang Cong" if Wang Cong is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong odds?

The latest available prices are Natalia Silva: 67.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.5¢ on Polymarket; Wang Cong: 35.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong prediction market payouts work?

For example, Natalia Silva at 65.8¢ implies about a 65.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Natalia Silva

Smart Money Consensus$3.0K
$3.0KNatalia Silva
Smart Traders Split1
1Natalia Silva
KalshiBuy Yes at 67¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Natalia Silva$3.0K · 1 whale
Wang Cong$539 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $14K lifetime bet $3K on Natalia Silva at 65¢

4h ago
PolymarketKalshiUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $627K lifetime bet $840 on Wang Cong at 35¢

8h ago
PolymarketKalshiUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $627K lifetime bet $592 on Wang Cong at 35¢

1d ago
PolymarketKalshiUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Trade on Kalshi →