Uruguayan Primera Division Champion
Live prediction market odds for Uruguayan Primera Division Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Peñarol about a 88.5% chance. Liverpool FC (Montevideo) follows at 84.0%, Montevideo City Torque follows at 76.0%, and Nacional follows at 69.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 39.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Montevideo City Torque is the 2026 Uruguayan Primera Division champion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Uruguayan Primera Division champion is determined according to the league’s official championship playoff structure. The playoff involves the winners of the Apertura (Opening) and Clausura (Closing) tournaments and the team that finishes first in the season-long aggregate table. If the same team wins the Apertura, Clausura, and finishes first in the aggregate table, that team is declared the champion without the need for a championship playoff. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Uruguayan Primera División for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Uruguayan Primera División for the 2026 season per the rules of Uruguayan Primera División (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Uruguayan Primera División; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The champion is decided based on the final league standings at the conclusion of the season. Points are awarded for wins and draws during matches.
Odds are influenced by team performances, match results, injuries, and other developments throughout the season. Betting patterns and market sentiment also play a role.
Trading for this market closes on December 29, 2026. However, the champion is determined earlier based on the league's final standings.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Peñarol: 81.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket; Liverpool FC (Montevideo): 84.0¢ on Polymarket; Montevideo City Torque: 76.0¢ on Polymarket; Nacional: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 89.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
