Live prediction market odds for US gasoline CPI for July. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-19
This market resolved on 2026-08-19. Above 300ㅤ was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the US gasoline CPI for July, which will be released on August 19, 2026.
Kalshi is tracking the US gasoline CPI for July, which will be released on August 19, 2026. Fluctuations in gasoline prices significantly impact inflation metrics and consumer spending, making this data crucial for economic forecasts and policy decisions.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Above 300ㅤWINNER | 99% |
Above 310ㅤ | 99% |
Above 320ㅤ | 99% |
Above 330ㅤ | 99% |
Above 331ㅤ | 85% |
Above 332ㅤ | 54% |
Above 333ㅤ | 9% |
Above 334ㅤ | 7% |
Above 335ㅤ | 1% |
Above 336ㅤ | 4% |
Above 337ㅤ | 1% |
Above 338ㅤ | 1% |
Above 339ㅤ | 1% |
Above 340ㅤ | 1% |
Above 350ㅤ | 1% |
Above 360ㅤ | 1% |
Above 365ㅤ | 4% |
Above 370ㅤ | 1% |
Above 375ㅤ | 1% |
Above 380ㅤ | 1% |
Above 385ㅤ | 1% |
Above 390ㅤ | 1% |
Above 395ㅤ | 1% |
Above 400ㅤ | 1% |
Above 405ㅤ | 1% |
Above 410ㅤ | 1% |
Above 415ㅤ | 1% |
Above 300ㅤ
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 300ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
The gasoline CPI measures the price changes of gasoline over time, reflecting the cost consumers pay at the pump. It is a critical component of the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) used to gauge inflation.
The July gasoline CPI release is significant as it provides insights into seasonal price trends and consumer behavior during peak travel months. It can influence economic policy and market expectations regarding inflation.
Gasoline prices directly impact transportation costs, which can lead to increased prices for goods and services. Higher gasoline costs can also reduce disposable income for consumers, affecting overall economic growth.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Above 300ㅤ: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 310ㅤ: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 320ㅤ: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 330ㅤ: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
