Live prediction market odds for USL Championship Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Louisville City FC about a 75.0% chance. Charleston Battery follows at 70.0%, New Mexico United follows at 70.0%, and Sacramento Republic FC follows at 70.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 25.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sacramento Republic FC is the 2026 USL Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes. The USL Championship title is awarded to the winner of the USL Championship Playoffs. Teams qualify for the playoffs based on their regular season standings within their conferences. The playoffs consist of a single-elimination tournament culminating in the USL Championship Final, and the winner of that final match is declared the USL Championship champion. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the USL Championship for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of USL Championship for the 2026 season per the rules of USL Championship (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the USL Championship; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves when a team is declared the champion of the USL Championship. This occurs at the conclusion of the playoff series.
Odds change based on teams' regular season performances, playoff results, and any significant player transactions. Key victories or losses can lead to rapid shifts in market sentiment.
Trading for this market is scheduled to close on December 30, 2026. However, the actual championship outcome is determined prior to this date.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Louisville City FC: 75.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket; Charleston Battery: 70.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket; New Mexico United: 70.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket; Sacramento Republic FC: 70.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
