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Live prediction market odds for Virginia Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Virginia Senate winner?

2027-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Mark Warner (D)99¢1.01xKalshiRepublicans3¢33.33xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Mark Warner (D) about a 97.8% chance. Republicans follows at 1.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.3 percentage points.

Traders give Mark Warner (D) about a 97.8% chance. Republicans follows at 1.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.3 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Virginia Senate race in the 2027 midterm elections. The outcome will be determined by the votes cast on November 3, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MW
Mark Warner (D)
98%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%98¢99¢1¢2¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.7%97¢98¢2¢3¢
R
Republicans
single venue1%
—
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket40.00x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.4%0¢3¢98¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Mark Warner (D)

Mark Warner is the senior United States Senator from Virginia, serving since 2009. He was the 69th Governor of Virginia from 2002 to 2006. As Vice Chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, he plays a key role in national security oversight.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.3%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Mark Warner (D)

97.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Virginia Senate winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Virginia Senate race scheduled to take place?

The Virginia Senate race is scheduled for November 3, 2027. This date marks the midterm elections in Virginia.

What factors influence the odds for the Virginia Senate race?

Odds for the Virginia Senate race are influenced by candidate campaigning, public polling, and voter sentiment. Changes in these factors can lead to fluctuations in market prices leading up to the election.

How is the winner of the Virginia Senate race determined?

The winner of the Virginia Senate race is determined by the total votes cast on election day. The candidate receiving the majority of votes will be declared the winner.

What does the Virginia Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Virginia Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Mark Warner (D): 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.7¢ on Polymarket; Republicans: 1.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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