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Live prediction market odds for What flavors will JUUL relaunch?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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What flavors will JUUL relaunch?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Mint98¢1.02xPolymarketMint16¢6.25xKalshiCrème Brûlée9¢11.11xKalshi
Compare all 6 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Mint about a 51.5% chance. Crème Brûlée follows at 8.8%, Fruit Medley follows at 6.3%, and Mango follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.5 percentage points.

Traders give Mint about a 51.5% chance. Crème Brûlée follows at 8.8%, Fruit Medley follows at 6.3%, and Mango follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the flavors that JUUL will relaunch. This event is pivotal as it could influence market share and consumer preferences in the vaping industry amidst regulatory pressures and changing public sentiment towards flavored products.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
M
Mint
single venue52%
—
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
51.5%5¢98¢2¢95¢
M
Mint
single venue15%
Kalshi16¢
—
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%11¢16¢84¢89¢
CB
Crème Brûlée
9%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket28¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢9¢91¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.5%3¢28¢72¢97¢
FM
Fruit Medley
6%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket19¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.5%2¢19¢81¢98¢
M
Mango
single venue6%
Kalshi9¢
—
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%5¢9¢91¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread13.5%
Platforms2
Candidates6
Leader

Mint

51.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: What flavors will JUUL relaunch?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If JUUL releases Cool Mint to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence JUUL's decision on flavor relaunch?

Market demand, regulatory guidelines, and consumer feedback play crucial roles in JUUL's flavor decisions. Additionally, competition from other vaping brands can impact their strategy.

How do prediction markets work for this event?

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as which flavors JUUL will relaunch. Prices fluctuate based on collective sentiment and information available to traders.

What is the significance of flavor options in the vaping market?

Flavor options are essential for attracting and retaining customers in the vaping market. They can significantly affect sales and brand loyalty, especially among younger consumers.

What flavors will JUUL relaunch: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What flavors will JUUL relaunch: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Mint: 51.5¢ on Polymarket; Mint: 15.0¢ on Kalshi; Crème Brûlée: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 15.5¢ on Polymarket; Fruit Medley: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 10.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

JUUL Crème Brûlée Odds Fall to 9% as No PMTA Filed After JUUL2 AuthJUUL filed no dessert-flavor PMTA after the Aug. 28 JUUL2 authorization. Crème Brûlée dropped 15 points in three days to sit at 9% on Kalshi.Sep 3, 2026FDA Approved JUUL2 for Two Flavors. Crème Brûlée Odds Jumped to 24%.FDA cleared only tobacco and menthol for JUUL2 on Aug 28. CEO Crosthwaite's promise to seek more flavors pushed Crème Brûlée relaunch odds from 11% to 24% in three days.Aug 31, 2026JUUL Fruit Medley Falls to 17% as FDA Clears Only Tobacco and MentholFDA's Aug 28 JUUL2 authorization covered zero fruit flavors, leaving no approval path before Dec 31. Mint holds near 52% while Fruit Medley dropped 12 points.Aug 29, 2026Cool Mint Hits 30% in JUUL Relaunch MarketFDA's first non-tobacco, non-menthol ENDS authorization sets precedent for JUUL's Cool Mint, its top-selling pre-ban flavor, with a Dec 31, 2026 resolution date.Aug 12, 2026