Traders give Speaker 10+ times about a 89.5% chance. Ukraine follows at 64.0%, Police follows at 49.5%, and King follows at 49.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 61.0 percentage points.
Traders give Speaker 10+ times about a 89.5% chance. Ukraine follows at 64.0%, Police follows at 49.5%, and King follows at 49.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 61.0 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Andy Burnham will say during Prime Minister's Questions. This event is significant as it can influence public opinion and political discourse on pressing national issues.
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. He previously served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2026, where he oversaw significant regional development and public service initiatives. Burnham's extensive experience in both local and national politics positions him as a key figure in shaping the UK's future direction.
About Immigrant / Immigration
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. He previously served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2026, where he implemented significant public transport reforms. As Prime Minister, Burnham has prioritized addressing the 'broken' social care system and has initiated a national 'listening tour' to engage directly with citizens.
About Iran / Iranian
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. Prior to this, he served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2026, where he implemented the 'A Bed Every Night' scheme to reduce rough sleeping. His extensive experience in public service and leadership roles makes him a key figure in UK politics.
About Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. He previously served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2024, where he oversaw significant urban development and public service reforms. Burnham's extensive experience in public administration and his leadership in local government make him a key figure in national policy discussions.
About Trump
Donald Trump is the 45th and 47th President of the United States, currently serving his second term. He previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021. As a former president, he has significant influence in U.S. politics and international affairs.
About Starmer
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. He previously served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2026, where he oversaw significant regional development and public service initiatives. Burnham's extensive experience in public service and leadership roles makes him a key figure in UK politics.
About Nuclear
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. He previously served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2026, where he implemented significant public transport reforms. Burnham's extensive experience in public service and leadership roles makes him a key figure in UK politics.
About Binface
Count Binface is a satirical political candidate portrayed by comedian Jonathan David Harvey. He has contested multiple UK elections, including the 2019 general election against Boris Johnson and the 2024 general election against Rishi Sunak. His participation in these elections highlights the UK's tradition of novelty candidates engaging in political discourse.
About NHS / Healthcare
Andy Burnham is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 20, 2026. He previously served as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2026, where he brought the bus network back under public control and oversaw Manchester becoming the fastest growing city-region in the UK. Burnham's extensive experience in public service and his leadership in health and social care reform make him a key figure in discussions about the National Health Service.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If
Andy Burnham says Immigrant / Immigration as part of next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)
, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
How this is resolved
Video of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be used.
Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Andy Burnham speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
For the purposes of this market, 'next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)' refers to the next official PMQs session in which Andy Burnham participates, occurring after August 19, 2026 10:50 PM.
Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.
What topics might Andy Burnham address during Prime Minister's Questions?
Burnham could discuss various issues including healthcare, policing, and international relations. His statements may reflect current events and public sentiment.
How do prediction markets determine the odds for Burnham's statements?
Odds are influenced by real-time analysis of political trends, media coverage, and public opinion polls. Market participants assess the likelihood of specific statements based on these factors.
What impact could Burnham's comments have on his political career?
His remarks may shape public perception and influence future electoral prospects. Strong or controversial statements could either bolster his support or lead to backlash.
What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions: what does this prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions: what are the current odds?
The latest available prices are Speaker 10+ times: 89.5¢ on Polymarket; Ukraine: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.0¢ on Polymarket; Police: 49.5¢ on Polymarket; King: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
