About This Market
Traders give Guest (R) about a 96.7% chance. Michael Chiaradio (D) follows at 1.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.
Traders give Guest (R) about a 96.7% chance. Michael Chiaradio (D) follows at 1.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MS-03 House election. The market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate announcements and local polling data leading up to the election.
