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Traders give Mars about a 11.0% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Live prediction market odds for Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Traders give Mars about a 11.0% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Traveling to Mars involves overcoming challenges such as life support systems, radiation exposure, and propulsion technology. Developing sustainable habitats and ensuring safe return journeys are also critical factors.
Elon Musk's vision for Mars colonization has spurred interest and investment in space technology. His plans encourage collaboration among private companies and government agencies to achieve ambitious space missions.
Current plans for Mars missions suggest crewed flights could occur in the 2030s, depending on technological advancements and funding. The timeline remains fluid, influenced by ongoing research and development efforts.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Mars: 11.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.