Live prediction market odds for What will Trump say during his remarks in New York?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-14
This market resolved on 2026-08-14. Afford / Affordable / Affordability was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Trump will say during his remarks in New York on August 14, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Trump will say during his remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. The content of his speech could influence public opinion and impact upcoming political events, making it a focal point for analysts and supporters alike.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityWINNER | 99% |
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% |
America First | 99% |
Barack Hussein Obama | 99% |
Biden | 99% |
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 1% |
Ceasefire | 1% |
China / Chinese | 1% |
Communist / Communism | 99% |
Deport / Deported / Deportation | 99% |
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | 99% |
Event does not qualify | 1% |
Fake News | 99% |
First Term | 99% |
Fraud | 2% |
Healthcare | 99% |
Hottest | 99% |
ICE | 1% |
Invest / Invested / Investment | 99% |
Iran (3+ times) | 99% |
Kamala | 99% |
Kathy / Hochul | 99% |
Knicks | 1% |
MAGA / Make America Great Again | 99% |
National Guard | 99% |
Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99% |
Radical Left | 99% |
Sanctuary | 99% |
Save America Act | 99% |
Stock Market | 99% |
Supreme Court | 1% |
Transgender | 99% |
Windmill | 1% |
Zohran / Mamdani | 99% |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump says Biden as part of Remarks in Nassau County, New York , then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the Remarks in Nassau County, New York will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks in Nassau County, New York will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Trump's speeches often shape public discourse and can sway voter sentiment. His remarks may also address key issues that resonate with his base.
Prediction markets aggregate opinions and expectations from participants, offering insights into what people believe Trump will discuss. Fluctuations in odds can indicate changing perceptions as the event approaches.
Current events, recent controversies, and ongoing political narratives are likely to shape Trump's remarks. Additionally, audience reactions and media coverage may also play a role in his messaging.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Afford / Affordable / Affordability: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; AI / Artificial Intelligence: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; America First: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Barack Hussein Obama: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
