About This Market
Traders give China about a 3.3% chance. United Kingdom follows at 2.0% and India follows at 1.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for Which countries will have a recession before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give China about a 3.3% chance. United Kingdom follows at 2.0% and India follows at 1.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
Recession predictions are influenced by economic indicators such as GDP growth rates, unemployment rates, and inflation. Additionally, global trade dynamics and fiscal policies play a crucial role in shaping these forecasts.
Prediction markets aggregate the views of participants who speculate on the likelihood of events occurring. These views are reflected in the odds, which fluctuate based on new information and changing economic conditions.
The timeframe until 2027 allows for the analysis of both short-term and long-term economic trends. It provides a window to assess the impact of current policies and global events on future economic stability.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are China: 3.3¢ on Kalshi; United Kingdom: 2.0¢ on Kalshi; India: 1.9¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.